Football · Colombia Primera B · 07/08, 01:00
Prediction: Orsomarso vs Tigres FC
Team pages: Orsomarso · Tigres FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.8Total
Orsomarso0.98
Tigres FC0.81
1X2
Orsomarso
Draw
Tigres FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Orsomarso
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Tigres FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orsomarso
4–1–1
Tigres FC
(6 last)
- Tigres FC0-1Orsomarso
- Tigres FC2-0Orsomarso
- Orsomarso1-1Tigres FC
- Orsomarso1-0Tigres FC
- Tigres FC0-1Orsomarso
- Orsomarso4-1Tigres FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orsomarso 1489 · Tigres FC 1435
| Orsomarso | Draw | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 35% | 28% |
| Market | 39% | 32% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.8 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orsomarso (rating 1489 vs 1435).
- H2H favours Orsomarso: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orsomarso | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.5 | 1.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orsomarso 4–1–1 Tigres FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orsomarso |
| 02/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Orsomarso |
| 22/02/25 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tigres FC |
| 12/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres FC |
| 01/06/24 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso |
| 28/05/24 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Tigres FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Patriotas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Envigado FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Itagui Leones | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Barranquilla FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Deportes Quindio | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Atletico Cali FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | Real San Andres | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orsomarso | Tigres FC |
|---|---|---|
| Itagui Leones | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Deportes Quindio | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orsomarso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 12/05 | Itagui Leones Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 31/03 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 27/03 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Tigres FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 29/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 21/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orsomarso win (38%). Probabilities: Orsomarso 38%, draw 33%, Tigres FC 29%.
How many goals are expected in Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
The model expects 1.8 goals (Orsomarso 0.98 · Tigres FC 0.81), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Orsomarso vs Tigres FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.