Football · Colombia Primera B · 12/08, 01:00

Prediction: Patriotas FC vs Orsomarso

Team pages: Patriotas FC · Orsomarso

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Patriotas FC1.4
Orsomarso0.76
1X2
51% 29% 20%
Patriotas FC Draw Orsomarso
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Patriotas FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLDDLLWD
Orsomarso 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DLLDDLDDWD
Head-to-head
Patriotas FC 2–3–1 Orsomarso (6 last)
  • Orsomarso0-0Patriotas FC
  • Orsomarso2-2Patriotas FC
  • Patriotas FC0-0Orsomarso
  • Patriotas FC1-0Orsomarso
  • Orsomarso0-1Patriotas FC
  • Orsomarso1-0Patriotas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Patriotas FC 1484 · Orsomarso 1474
Patriotas FCDrawOrsomarso
Our model51%30%19%
Market52%28%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Patriotas FC: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Patriotas FCOrsomarso
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.40.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.22.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.36 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Patriotas FC 231 Orsomarso

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/02/26
Colombia Primera B
Orsomarso0-0
HT 0-0
Patriotas FC
13/08/25
Colombia Primera B
Orsomarso2-2
HT 1-0
Patriotas FC
27/02/25
Colombia Primera B
Patriotas FC0-0
HT 0-0
Orsomarso
19/09/23
Colombia Primera B
Patriotas FC1-0
HT 1-0
Orsomarso
15/04/23
Colombia Primera B
Orsomarso0-1
HT 0-0
Patriotas FC
28/03/23
Colombia Cup
Orsomarso1-0
HT 0-0
Patriotas FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Independiente Yumbo 3210 517
2 Itagui Leones 3210 317
3 Real Cartagena 3111 644
4 Patriotas FC 2110 534
5 Real Soacha Cundinamarca 3111 434
6 Envigado FC 2110 214
7 Orsomarso 2110 104
8 Bogota FC 3111 114
9 Boca Juniors De Cali 3111 234
10 Deportes Quindio 3021 232
11 Atletico Cali FC 3021 462
12 Internacional FC de Palmira 3021 242
13 Real San Andres 3021 592
14 Barranquilla FC 2011 231
15 Tigres FC 2011 011
15 Union Magdalena 2011 011

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPatriotas FCOrsomarso
Internacional FC de Palmira 3-1 W 1-2 L
Itagui Leones 1-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Patriotas FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Patriotas FC

LWWLDDLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Real San Andres
Colombia Primera B
1-0 2-2 34 D
26/07 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-1 3-1 106 W
21/05 Llaneros
Colombia Cup
1-1 1-3 24 L
16/05 Millonarios
Colombia Cup
1-1 2-3 16 L
11/05 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Cup
1-1 1-1 25 D
07/05 Boyaca Chico
Colombia Cup
0-0 0-0 27 D
18/04 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 113 L
14/04 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-0 117 W
01/04 Itagui Leones
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-0 63 W
27/03 Independiente Yumbo
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-2 47 L

Orsomarso

DLLDDLDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 24 D
27/07 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-0 33 W
20/05 Fortaleza CEIF
Colombia Cup
1-0 1-1 37 D
16/05 Independiente Medellin
Colombia Cup
1-1 1-1 109 D
12/05 Itagui Leones
Colombia Cup
0-0 0-2 66 L
10/05 Cucuta Deportivo
Colombia Cup
0-0 1-1 115 D
18/04 Itagui Leones
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 75 D
13/04 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 56 L
31/03 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-1 1-2 612 L
27/03 Deportes Quindio
Colombia Primera B
1-0 2-2 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Patriotas FC vs Orsomarso?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Patriotas FC win (51%). Probabilities: Patriotas FC 51%, draw 29%, Orsomarso 20%.

How many goals are expected in Patriotas FC vs Orsomarso?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Patriotas FC 1.4 · Orsomarso 0.76), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Patriotas FC vs Orsomarso?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.