Football · Colombia Primera B · 11/08, 22:30
Prediction: Real San Andres vs Barranquilla FC
Team pages: Real San Andres · Barranquilla FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Real San Andres1.4
Barranquilla FC1.1
1X2
Real San Andres
Draw
Barranquilla FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real San Andres
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Barranquilla FC
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real San Andres
4–2
Barranquilla FC
(6 last)
- Barranquilla FC2-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres2-0Barranquilla FC
- Barranquilla FC1-2Real San Andres
- Real San Andres2-1Barranquilla FC
- Barranquilla FC1-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres4-1Barranquilla FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real San Andres 1401 · Barranquilla FC 1486
| Real San Andres | Draw | Barranquilla FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barranquilla FC (rating 1401 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Real San Andres: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real San Andres | Barranquilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.7 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.1 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real San Andres 4–0–2 Barranquilla FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Real San Andres |
| 19/07/25 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Barranquilla FC |
| 11/02/25 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Real San Andres |
| 21/08/24 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Barranquilla FC |
| 05/03/24 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real San Andres |
| 07/10/23 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Barranquilla FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Itagui Leones | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Envigado FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Deportes Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Atletico Cali FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Real San Andres | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real San Andres | Barranquilla FC |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Cali FC | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Real Cartagena | 1-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Bogota FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barranquilla FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real San Andres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 16/05 | Alianza Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 08/04 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
Barranquilla FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 30/07 | Junior Colombia Cup |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Junior Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 8 | D |
| 22/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real San Andres vs Barranquilla FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real San Andres win (43%). Probabilities: Real San Andres 43%, draw 28%, Barranquilla FC 29%.
How many goals are expected in Real San Andres vs Barranquilla FC?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Real San Andres 1.4 · Barranquilla FC 1.1), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real San Andres vs Barranquilla FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.