Football · Colombia Primera B · 15/08, 21:00

Prediction: Bogota FC vs Patriotas FC

Team pages: Bogota FC · Patriotas FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Bogota FC0.97
Patriotas FC0.95
1X2
35% 32% 34%
Bogota FC Draw Patriotas FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Bogota FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLDWWLDL
Patriotas FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLDDLLWD
Head-to-head
Bogota FC 1–1–4 Patriotas FC (6 last)
  • Patriotas FC0-1Bogota FC
  • Patriotas FC1-1Bogota FC
  • Bogota FC0-2Patriotas FC
  • Bogota FC0-1Patriotas FC
  • Patriotas FC2-0Bogota FC
  • Patriotas FC1-0Bogota FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bogota FC 1469 · Patriotas FC 1475
Bogota FCDrawPatriotas FC
Our model33%34%32%
Market35%30%34%
Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Patriotas FC: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bogota FCPatriotas FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.11.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.92.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.24.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bogota FC 114 Patriotas FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/26
Colombia Primera B
Patriotas FC0-1
HT 0-1
Bogota FC
31/08/25
Colombia Primera B
Patriotas FC1-1
HT 1-0
Bogota FC
24/03/25
Colombia Primera B
Bogota FC0-2
HT 0-1
Patriotas FC
13/08/23
Colombia Primera B
Bogota FC0-1
HT 0-1
Patriotas FC
25/02/23
Colombia Primera B
Patriotas FC2-0
HT 0-0
Bogota FC
11/04/19
Colombia Cup
Patriotas FC1-0
HT 1-0
Bogota FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Independiente Yumbo 3210 517
2 Itagui Leones 3210 317
3 Real Cartagena 3111 644
4 Patriotas FC 2110 534
5 Real Soacha Cundinamarca 3111 434
6 Envigado FC 2110 214
7 Orsomarso 2110 104
8 Bogota FC 3111 114
9 Boca Juniors De Cali 3111 234
10 Deportes Quindio 3021 232
11 Atletico Cali FC 3021 462
12 Internacional FC de Palmira 3021 242
13 Real San Andres 3021 592
14 Barranquilla FC 2011 231
15 Tigres FC 2011 011
15 Union Magdalena 2011 011

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBogota FCPatriotas FC
Itagui Leones 0-1 L 1-0 W
Internacional FC de Palmira 0-0 D 3-1 W
Real Cartagena 1-2 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Patriotas FC (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bogota FC

LLDLDWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/08 Itagui Leones
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-1 90 L
03/08 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 45 D
29/07 Deportivo Pasto
Colombia Cup
0-3 0-3 66 L
25/07 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-0 23 W
22/07 Deportivo Pasto
Colombia Cup
0-0 1-0 13 W
21/05 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 25 D
18/05 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-2 26 L
13/05 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-1 94 D
09/05 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 23 L
03/05 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
0-2 0-2 26 L

Patriotas FC

LWWLDDLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Real San Andres
Colombia Primera B
1-0 2-2 34 D
26/07 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-1 3-1 106 W
21/05 Llaneros
Colombia Cup
1-1 1-3 24 L
16/05 Millonarios
Colombia Cup
1-1 2-3 16 L
11/05 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Cup
1-1 1-1 25 D
07/05 Boyaca Chico
Colombia Cup
0-0 0-0 27 D
18/04 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 113 L
14/04 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-0 117 W
01/04 Itagui Leones
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-0 63 W
27/03 Independiente Yumbo
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-2 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bogota FC vs Patriotas FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bogota FC win (35%). Probabilities: Bogota FC 35%, draw 32%, Patriotas FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Bogota FC vs Patriotas FC?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Bogota FC 0.97 · Patriotas FC 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Bogota FC vs Patriotas FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.