Football · Colombia Primera B · 16/08, 21:00
Prediction: Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Real San Andres
Team pages: Real Soacha Cundinamarca · Real San Andres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Real Soacha Cundinamarca1.71
Real San Andres1.03
1X2
Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Draw
Real San Andres
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real Soacha Cundinamarca
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Real San Andres
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Soacha Cundinamarca
4–2
Real San Andres
(6 last)
- Real San Andres2-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
- Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres3-4Real Soacha Cundinamarca
- Real San Andres0-1Real Soacha Cundinamarca
- Real Soacha Cundinamarca4-2Real San Andres
- Real Soacha Cundinamarca0-1Real San Andres
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1499 · Real San Andres 1410
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | Draw | Real San Andres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca (rating 1499 vs 1410).
- H2H favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | Real San Andres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 1.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 4–0–2 Real San Andres
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca |
| 26/07/25 Colombia Primera B | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 15/02/25 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca |
| 29/07/24 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca |
| 10/02/24 Colombia Primera B | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 11/10/23 Colombia Primera B | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Real San Andres |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Itagui Leones | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Envigado FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Deportes Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Atletico Cali FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Real San Andres | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | Real San Andres |
|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Real Cartagena | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Bogota FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Soacha Cundinamarca (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Soacha Cundinamarca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 26/05 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 07/05 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 11/04 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
Real San Andres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 16/05 | Alianza Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 08/04 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Real San Andres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Soacha Cundinamarca win (52%). Probabilities: Real Soacha Cundinamarca 52%, draw 26%, Real San Andres 22%.
How many goals are expected in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Real San Andres?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1.71 · Real San Andres 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Soacha Cundinamarca vs Real San Andres?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.