Prediction: Union Magdalena vs Itagui Leones
Team pages: Union Magdalena · Itagui Leones
- Itagui Leones1-3Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena2-1Itagui Leones
- Itagui Leones1-1Union Magdalena
- Itagui Leones1-3Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena2-3Itagui Leones
- Itagui Leones3-0Union Magdalena
| Union Magdalena | Draw | Itagui Leones | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 25% | 10% |
| Market | 67% | 22% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Union Magdalena: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Magdalena | Itagui Leones | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.6 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Magdalena 3–1–2 Itagui Leones
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Union Magdalena |
| 06/10/24 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Itagui Leones |
| 05/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Union Magdalena |
| 02/05/24 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Union Magdalena |
| 25/03/24 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Itagui Leones |
| 04/09/21 Colombia Primera B | Itagui Leones | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Union Magdalena |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Itagui Leones | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Envigado FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Deportes Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Atletico Cali FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Real San Andres | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Magdalena | Itagui Leones |
|---|---|---|
| Orsomarso | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Bogota FC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Itagui Leones (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Magdalena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 12/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 28/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Itagui Leones
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 04/08 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Orsomarso Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/04 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 01/04 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Magdalena vs Itagui Leones?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Magdalena win (66%). Probabilities: Union Magdalena 66%, draw 23%, Itagui Leones 11%.
How many goals are expected in Union Magdalena vs Itagui Leones?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Union Magdalena 1.67 · Itagui Leones 0.51), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Magdalena vs Itagui Leones?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.