Football · Belarus Cup · 18/07, 16:30
Prediction: FC Smorgon vs FC Minsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.98Total
FC Smorgon2.2
FC Minsk1.78
1X2
FC Smorgon
Draw
FC Minsk
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Smorgon
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FC Minsk
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Smorgon
1–3–2
FC Minsk
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Minsk: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Smorgon | FC Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.3 | – / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Smorgon 1–3–2 FC Minsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 2-2 HT 2-1 | FC Smorgon |
| 01/06/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Smorgon | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Minsk |
| 18/08/24 Belarus Premier League | FC Smorgon | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Minsk |
| 05/04/24 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 2-3 HT 1-2 | FC Smorgon |
| 05/11/23 Belarus Premier League | FC Smorgon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Minsk |
| 10/06/23 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FC Smorgon |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Smorgon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | FC Orsha Belarus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Volna Pinsk Belarus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Soligorsk Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Bumprom Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Minsk 2 Belarus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | FC Osipovichi Belarus Division 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Lida Belarus Division 1 |
1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/05 | Vertikal Belarus Cup |
1-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Niva Dolbizno Belarus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Energetik-BGU Minsk Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
FC Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Smorgon vs FC Minsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Smorgon win (47%). Probabilities: FC Smorgon 47%, draw 22%, FC Minsk 31%.
How many goals are expected in FC Smorgon vs FC Minsk?
The model expects 3.98 goals (FC Smorgon 2.2 · FC Minsk 1.78), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Smorgon vs FC Minsk?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.