Football · Belarus Cup · 19/07, 15:30
Prediction: FC Orsha vs Naftan Novopolotsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
FC Orsha2.07
Naftan Novopolotsk1.29
1X2
FC Orsha
Draw
Naftan Novopolotsk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Orsha
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Naftan Novopolotsk
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Orsha
2–4
Naftan Novopolotsk
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Orsha (rating 1479 vs 1417).
- H2H favours Naftan Novopolotsk: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Orsha | Naftan Novopolotsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.5 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Orsha 2–0–4 Naftan Novopolotsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/22 Belarus Division 1 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 5-0 HT 3-0 | FC Orsha |
| 07/05/22 Belarus Division 1 | FC Orsha | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 21/11/21 Belarus Division 1 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Orsha |
| 04/09/21 Belarus Division 1 | FC Orsha | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 18/06/21 Belarus Division 1 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FC Orsha |
| 21/11/20 Belarus Division 1 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Orsha |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Orsha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | FC Smorgon Belarus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | FK Bumprom Belarus Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Minsk 2 Belarus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/06 | FC Osipovichi Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Lida Belarus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Niva Dolbizno Belarus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Energetik-BGU Minsk Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Slutsk Belarus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | FC Drut Belarus Cup |
2-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | FC Ostrovets Belarus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Naftan Novopolotsk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Maxline Rogachev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Orsha vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Orsha win (54%). Probabilities: FC Orsha 54%, draw 23%, Naftan Novopolotsk 23%.
How many goals are expected in FC Orsha vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model expects 3.36 goals (FC Orsha 2.07 · Naftan Novopolotsk 1.29), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Orsha vs Naftan Novopolotsk?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.