Football · Belarus Cup · 18/07, 17:30
Prediction: FK Bumprom vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
FK Bumprom1.75
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1.1
1X2
FK Bumprom
Draw
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Bumprom
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Bumprom
0–2
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
(2 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Bumprom (rating 1524 vs 1482).
- H2H favours FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Bumprom | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.8 | – / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Bumprom 0–0–2 FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/23 Belarus Division 1 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Bumprom |
| 23/04/23 Belarus Division 1 | FK Bumprom | 1-2 HT 1-2 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Bumprom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | FC Gomel 2 Belarus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Orsha Belarus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 15 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Volna Pinsk Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | FC Smorgon Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Soligorsk Belarus Division 1 |
3-2 | 6-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Minsk 2 Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | FC Osipovichi Belarus Division 1 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Bobovnya FC Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | FC Lida Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Niva Dolbizno Belarus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Bumprom vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Bumprom win (51%). Probabilities: FK Bumprom 51%, draw 26%, FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 23%.
How many goals are expected in FK Bumprom vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
The model expects 2.85 goals (FK Bumprom 1.75 · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Bumprom vs FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.