Football · Armenia Premier League · 31/07, 14:00
Prediction: FC Van vs Sardarapat FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
FC Van1.54
Sardarapat FC1.09
1X2
FC Van
Draw
Sardarapat FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Van
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Sardarapat FC
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Van 1463 · Sardarapat FC 1602
| FC Van | Draw | Sardarapat FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sardarapat FC (rating 1463 vs 1602).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Van | Sardarapat FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 2.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 2.8 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | – / – |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alashkert FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ararat Yerevan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ararat Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | BKMA FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gandzasar Kapan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Noah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pyunik Yerevan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shirak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Syunik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Urartu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Van | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sardarapat FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Van
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 20/04 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 20/03 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Sardarapat FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05 | Bentonit Ijevan Armenia First League |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Syunik Armenia First League |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Andranik Armenia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/05 | Ararat Armenia II Armenia First League |
3-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/04 | FC Hayq Armenia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/04 | FC Araks Armenia First League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/04 | Ararat Yerevan II Armenia First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | FC MIKA Armenia First League |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/03 | Pyunik Yerevan II Armenia First League |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/03 | FK Lernayin Artsakh Goris Armenia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Van vs Sardarapat FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Van win (47%). Probabilities: FC Van 47%, draw 27%, Sardarapat FC 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC Van vs Sardarapat FC?
The model expects 2.63 goals (FC Van 1.54 · Sardarapat FC 1.09), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Van vs Sardarapat FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.