Football · Czechia First League · 07/08, 19:00

Prediction: FC Brno vs Slovan Liberec

Team pages: FC Brno · Slovan Liberec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

FC Brno1.36

Slovan Liberec1.36

1X2

36% 27% 36%

FC Brno Draw Slovan Liberec

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Brno 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLWWD

Slovan Liberec 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLWDWWWL

Head-to-head

FC Brno 1–1–4 Slovan Liberec (6 last)

Slovan Liberec3-1FC Brno
FC Brno3-0Slovan Liberec
Slovan Liberec1-1FC Brno
FC Brno0-3Slovan Liberec
FC Brno0-1Slovan Liberec
Slovan Liberec2-0FC Brno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Brno 1565 · Slovan Liberec 1513

	FC Brno	Draw	Slovan Liberec
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	37%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Brno (rating 1565 vs 1513).
H2H favours Slovan Liberec: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Brno	Slovan Liberec
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.5	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.50▲	Bet365 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.50▼	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:09 +49’	2.40	3.40	2.63
07:29 +2’	2.50▲	3.40	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Brno 1–1–4 Slovan Liberec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/23 Czechia First League	Slovan Liberec	3-1 HT 3-0	FC Brno
30/10/22 Czechia First League	FC Brno	3-0 HT 0-0	Slovan Liberec
14/05/21 Czechia First League	Slovan Liberec	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Brno
22/01/21 Czechia First League	FC Brno	0-3 HT 0-2	Slovan Liberec
26/09/18 Czechia Cup	FC Brno	0-1 HT 0-1	Slovan Liberec
16/03/18 Czechia First League	Slovan Liberec	2-0 HT 2-0	FC Brno

Standings · Czechia First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	2	2	0	0	9	1	6
2	FK Jablonec	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
2	FK Teplice	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
4	Mlada Boleslav	2	1	1	0	6	4	4
5	FC Brno	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
6	Hradec Kralove	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
7	Slovan Liberec	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	Sparta Prague	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	Banik Ostrava	2	1	0	1	1	4	3
10	SK Artis Brno	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
11	Slovacko	2	0	1	1	2	6	1
12	Sigma Olomouc	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
13	Viktoria Plzen	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Bohemians 1905	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
15	FC Trinity Zlin	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
15	Pardubice	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Brno	Slovan Liberec
Viktoria Plzen	1-1 D	3-1 W
Sparta Prague	3-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Brno

DWWWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
25/07	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	7	0	W
17/07	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	11	3	W
08/07	Hartberg Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
04/07	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
01/07	Tiszakecske FC Europe Friendlies	2-1	4-2	8	0	W
30/06	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
23/06	SK Prostejov Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-1	5	1	W
23/05	Ceske Budejovice Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	4-1	10	0	W
16/05	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	2	D

Slovan Liberec

LLLLWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FK Teplice Czechia First League	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
25/07	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	1-0	3-1	4	7	W
17/07	St Polten Europe Friendlies	0-1	3-1	4	1	W
09/07	Rapid Bucuresti Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
04/07	Dukla Praha Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	8	1	D
27/06	FK Usti nad Labem Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	9	0	W
24/05	FK Jablonec Czechia First League	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
17/05	Sparta Prague Czechia First League	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
13/05	Hradec Kralove Czechia First League	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
09/05	Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League	0-1	0-2	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Brno vs Slovan Liberec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Brno win (36%). Probabilities: FC Brno 36%, draw 27%, Slovan Liberec 36%.

How many goals are expected in FC Brno vs Slovan Liberec?

The model expects 2.72 goals (FC Brno 1.36 · Slovan Liberec 1.36), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Brno vs Slovan Liberec?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.