Football · Czechia First League · 23/08, 15:00
Prediction: FK Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava
Team pages: FK Jablonec · Banik Ostrava
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
FK Jablonec1.46
Banik Ostrava1.25
1X2
FK Jablonec
Draw
Banik Ostrava
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Jablonec
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Banik Ostrava
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Jablonec
4–2
Banik Ostrava
(6 last)
- FK Jablonec4-1Banik Ostrava
- Banik Ostrava0-1FK Jablonec
- Banik Ostrava1-2FK Jablonec
- FK Jablonec0-1Banik Ostrava
- FK Jablonec3-1Banik Ostrava
- Banik Ostrava1-0FK Jablonec
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Jablonec 1578 · Banik Ostrava 1468
| FK Jablonec | Draw | Banik Ostrava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Jablonec (rating 1578 vs 1468).
- H2H favours FK Jablonec: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Jablonec | Banik Ostrava | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.6 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Jablonec 4–0–2 Banik Ostrava
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Banik Ostrava |
| 08/11/25 Czechia First League | Banik Ostrava | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Jablonec |
| 27/04/25 Czechia First League | Banik Ostrava | 1-2 HT 0-2 | FK Jablonec |
| 09/04/25 Czechia Cup | FK Jablonec | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Banik Ostrava |
| 23/11/24 Czechia First League | FK Jablonec | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Banik Ostrava |
| 28/07/24 Czechia First League | Banik Ostrava | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Jablonec |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | FK Teplice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | Slovan Liberec | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Sparta Prague | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Banik Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | Viktoria Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | SK Artis Brno | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| 15 | Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | FC Trinity Zlin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Jablonec | Banik Ostrava |
|---|---|---|
| Slovacko | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Viktoria Plzen | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Slavia Prague | 1-5 L | 0-4 L |
| Hradec Kralove | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Jablonec (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Jablonec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-4 | 0-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
Banik Ostrava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | SK Artis Brno Czechia First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Hradec Kralove Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Dukla Praha Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Trinity Zlin Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Slovacko Czechia First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Teplice Czechia First League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Viktoria Plzen Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Jablonec win (41%). Probabilities: FK Jablonec 41%, draw 27%, Banik Ostrava 31%.
How many goals are expected in FK Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?
The model expects 2.71 goals (FK Jablonec 1.46 · Banik Ostrava 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Jablonec vs Banik Ostrava?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.