Football · Czechia First League · 01/08, 20:00
Prediction: Viktoria Plzen vs FC Brno
Team pages: Viktoria Plzen · FC Brno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Viktoria Plzen2.2
FC Brno0.82
1X2
Viktoria Plzen
Draw
FC Brno
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Viktoria Plzen
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FC Brno
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Viktoria Plzen
5–1–0
FC Brno
(6 last)
- FC Brno1-3Viktoria Plzen
- Viktoria Plzen4-0FC Brno
- Viktoria Plzen1-1FC Brno
- FC Brno0-1Viktoria Plzen
- Viktoria Plzen4-1FC Brno
- FC Brno1-3Viktoria Plzen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktoria Plzen 1499 · FC Brno 1592
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | FC Brno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Brno (rating 1499 vs 1592).
- H2H favours Viktoria Plzen: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Viktoria Plzen | FC Brno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 2.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 3.6 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Plzen 5–1–0 FC Brno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/23 Czechia First League | FC Brno | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 09/11/22 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FC Brno |
| 19/01/22 Europe Friendlies | Viktoria Plzen | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Brno |
| 27/02/21 Czechia First League | FC Brno | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 27/09/20 Czechia First League | Viktoria Plzen | 4-1 HT 2-0 | FC Brno |
| 21/04/18 Czechia First League | FC Brno | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Viktoria Plzen |
Standings · Czechia First League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Brno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FK Teplice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hradec Kralove | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Banik Ostrava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pardubice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Trinity Zlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | SK Artis Brno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Bohemians 1905 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Viktoria Plzen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Slovacko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktoria Plzen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 14/07 | Polissya Zhytomyr Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Young Boys Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | FC Copenhagen Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 01/07 | FC Spartak Trnava Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | SK Artis Brno Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Slavia Prague Czechia First League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Jablonec Czechia First League |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Slovan Liberec Czechia First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
FC Brno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Sparta Prague Czechia First League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Hartberg Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Tiszakecske FC Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | SK Prostejov Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Ceske Budejovice Czechia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktoria Plzen vs FC Brno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Viktoria Plzen win (68%). Probabilities: Viktoria Plzen 68%, draw 20%, FC Brno 12%.
How many goals are expected in Viktoria Plzen vs FC Brno?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Viktoria Plzen 2.2 · FC Brno 0.82), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Viktoria Plzen vs FC Brno?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.