Football · Russia Division 1 · 11/09, 16:00
Prediction: Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Team pages: Ural · Shinnik Yaroslavl
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Ural1.3
Shinnik Yaroslavl1.04
1X2
Ural
Draw
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ural
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ural
5–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(6 last)
- Ural0-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl0-1Ural
- Shinnik Yaroslavl0-2Ural
- Ural2-1Shinnik Yaroslavl
- Shinnik Yaroslavl0-2Ural
- Shinnik Yaroslavl0-2Ural
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ural: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ural | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.9 | – / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ural 5–0–1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Russia Division 1 | Ural | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 19/07/25 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ural |
| 10/11/24 Russia Division 1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ural |
| 20/07/24 Russia Division 1 | Ural | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
| 24/06/20 Russia Cup | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ural |
| 20/02/18 Russia FNL Cup | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Ural |
Standings · Russia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Nizhny Novgorod | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Veles | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | PFC Sochi | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Ural | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Spartak Kostroma | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Ufa | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 16 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | Rotor Volgograd | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Yenisey | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 13 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | FK Leningradets | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 9 |
| 15 | FK Chelyabinsk | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 7 |
| 16 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Kamaz Nab Chelny | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 5 |
| 18 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ural | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| FK Leningradets | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| FK Yenisey | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Torpedo Moscow | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Shinnik Yaroslavl (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ural
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Kamaz Nab Chelny Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Tekstilshik Ivanovo Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Shinnik Yaroslavl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 30/08 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Leningradets Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | PFC Sochi Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ural win (41%). Probabilities: Ural 41%, draw 30%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 28%.
How many goals are expected in Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Ural 1.3 · Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ural vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.