Football · Austria Landesliga · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: ATSV Salzburg vs Seekirchen II

Team pages: ATSV Salzburg · Seekirchen II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.08Total

ATSV Salzburg1.76

Seekirchen II2.32

1X2

29% 21% 50%

ATSV Salzburg Draw Seekirchen II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

ATSV Salzburg 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Seekirchen II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ATSV Salzburg 1447 · Seekirchen II 1507

	ATSV Salzburg	Draw	Seekirchen II
Our model	29%	21%	50%
Market	29%	21%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seekirchen II (rating 1447 vs 1507).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ATSV Salzburg	Seekirchen II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 3	2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.3	3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.3	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X4.20

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
07:27 +42’	3.10	4.20	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	9	7	2	0	26	5	23
2	LAC Inter	9	6	1	2	21	15	19
3	Red Star Penzing	9	6	1	2	18	12	19
4	TWL Elektra	9	6	1	2	19	14	19
5	Helfort 15	9	5	2	2	16	7	17
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	9	5	1	3	17	13	16
7	First Vienna II	9	4	1	4	21	19	13
8	SV Schwechat	9	4	0	5	14	14	12
9	WAF Brigittenau	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
10	FV Austria XIII	9	2	4	3	13	13	10
11	Slovan HAC	9	2	3	4	11	16	9
12	Hellas Kagran	9	2	2	5	15	19	8
13	FC 1980 Wien	9	2	2	5	10	23	8
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	9	1	4	4	10	20	7
15	Simmeringer SC	9	2	0	7	5	25	6
16	Post SV	9	1	2	6	17	16	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ATSV Salzburg	Seekirchen II
Puch	2-4 L	0-6 L
SV Schwarzach	1-1 D	5-0 W
TSU Bramberg	4-4 D	0-4 L
Union Henndorf	2-3 L	3-2 W
SC Golling	1-5 L	2-0 W
USK Anif	0-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Seekirchen II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ATSV Salzburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Puch Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
11/10	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
04/10	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	1-4	4-4	–	–	D
27/09	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-3	2	4	L
19/09	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-7	–	–	L
13/09	UFV Thalgau Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	5	1	W
04/09	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/08	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
16/08	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	1	2	L

Seekirchen II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
10/10	SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-6	–	–	L
04/10	SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
26/09	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
19/09	USV 1960 Berndorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
13/09	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/09	Puch Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
29/08	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
21/08	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-4	–	–	L
15/08	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ATSV Salzburg vs Seekirchen II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Seekirchen II win (50%). Probabilities: ATSV Salzburg 29%, draw 21%, Seekirchen II 50%.

How many goals are expected in ATSV Salzburg vs Seekirchen II?

The model expects 4.08 goals (ATSV Salzburg 1.76 · Seekirchen II 2.32), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in ATSV Salzburg vs Seekirchen II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.