Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: FC Flenu vs RAEC Mons

Team pages: FC Flenu · RAEC Mons

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

FC Flenu1.1

RAEC Mons2.81

1X2

11% 17% 72%

FC Flenu Draw RAEC Mons

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Flenu 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLLLLL

RAEC Mons 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDWWLW

Head-to-head

FC Flenu 0–2 RAEC Mons (2 last)

RAEC Mons4-0FC Flenu
FC Flenu0-4RAEC Mons

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Flenu 1387 · RAEC Mons 1567

	FC Flenu	Draw	RAEC Mons
Our model	12%	16%	72%
Market	11%	17%	72%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RAEC Mons (rating 1387 vs 1567).
H2H favours RAEC Mons: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Flenu	RAEC Mons
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.9	2.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.7	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/0/90%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

18.00

X5.25

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:01 +9’	8.00	5.25	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Flenu 0–0–2 RAEC Mons

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	RAEC Mons	4-0 HT 1-0	FC Flenu
06/08/25 Europe Friendlies	FC Flenu	0-4 HT 0-2	RAEC Mons

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	12	8	1	3	20	11	25
2	Union Rochefortoise	12	6	4	2	23	11	22
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	22	15	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	18	13	21
5	RAEC Mons	12	6	2	4	28	20	20
6	RWD Molenbeek	12	6	2	4	16	14	20
7	ROC Charleroi	12	4	4	4	15	23	16
8	Standard Liege II	12	4	2	6	14	12	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
10	RCS Onhaye	12	4	1	7	13	22	13
11	RSC Habay	12	3	3	6	10	15	12
12	FC Flenu	12	0	2	10	11	33	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Flenu	RAEC Mons
RCS Onhaye	0-1 L	5-2 W
Tubize	0-4 L	2-2 D
Standard Liege II	0-1 L	3-0 W
Union Saint Gilloise II	2-5 L	3-4 L
ROC Charleroi	3-4 L	3-0 W
RSC Habay	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RAEC Mons (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Flenu

LDLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
25/10	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
18/10	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
11/10	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-3	2-5	5	5	L
03/10	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-4	2	5	L
30/09	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-4	2	6	L
20/09	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	1-2	5	3	L
13/09	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	0-3	1-4	6	5	L
06/09	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-2	4	5	D
02/09	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-2	1	4	L

RAEC Mons

WDWWLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-0	3	7	W
31/10	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	3-4	2	5	L
24/10	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
21/10	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
11/10	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-2	–	–	D
07/10	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	2-3	6	10	L
03/10	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
20/09	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	5-2	3	7	W
12/09	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	2-2	7	4	D
05/09	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Flenu vs RAEC Mons?

According to our model, the most likely result is an RAEC Mons win (72%). Probabilities: FC Flenu 11%, draw 17%, RAEC Mons 72%.

How many goals are expected in FC Flenu vs RAEC Mons?

The model expects 3.91 goals (FC Flenu 1.1 · RAEC Mons 2.81), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Flenu vs RAEC Mons?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.