Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 14/11, 20:00

Prediction: RFC Meux vs ROC Charleroi

Team pages: RFC Meux · ROC Charleroi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

RFC Meux1.51

ROC Charleroi1.31

1X2

41% 26% 32%

RFC Meux Draw ROC Charleroi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

RFC Meux 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWLWW

ROC Charleroi 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWDDWLWD

Head-to-head

RFC Meux 0–1–0 ROC Charleroi (1 last)

ROC Charleroi1-1RFC Meux

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RFC Meux 1540 · ROC Charleroi 1501

	RFC Meux	Draw	ROC Charleroi
Our model	41%	27%	32%
Market	42%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RFC Meux	ROC Charleroi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.51 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +28’	2.15	3.50	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:11 +3’	2.51	3.17	2.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RFC Meux 0–1–0 ROC Charleroi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/10/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	ROC Charleroi	1-1 HT 0-0	RFC Meux

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	12	8	1	3	20	11	25
2	Union Rochefortoise	12	6	4	2	23	11	22
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	22	15	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	18	13	21
5	RAEC Mons	12	6	2	4	28	20	20
6	RWD Molenbeek	12	6	2	4	16	14	20
7	ROC Charleroi	12	4	4	4	15	23	16
8	Standard Liege II	12	4	2	6	14	12	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
10	RCS Onhaye	12	4	1	7	13	22	13
11	RSC Habay	12	3	3	6	10	15	12
12	FC Flenu	12	0	2	10	11	33	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RFC Meux	ROC Charleroi
RWD Molenbeek	1-0 W	3-1 W
Sporting Charleroi U23	3-2 W	1-1 D
RSC Habay	0-1 L	1-0 W
Tubize	1-0 W	1-1 D
Union Rochefortoise	0-3 L	0-4 L
FC Flenu	4-1 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RFC Meux (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RFC Meux

WWLWDLWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
31/10	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	3-2	0	7	W
25/10	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	9	8	L
17/10	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	1	8	W
10/10	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	8	6	L
03/10	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
26/09	RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
19/09	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	7	0	L
13/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	3-0	4-1	2	5	W
06/09	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	2	6	W

ROC Charleroi

LDLWDDWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
31/10	RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/10	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	0-3	0-4	4	1	L
17/10	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
10/10	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
03/10	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
30/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-3	2	6	W
19/09	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-3	7	2	L
12/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
05/09	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RFC Meux vs ROC Charleroi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RFC Meux win (41%). Probabilities: RFC Meux 41%, draw 26%, ROC Charleroi 32%.

How many goals are expected in RFC Meux vs ROC Charleroi?

The model expects 2.82 goals (RFC Meux 1.51 · ROC Charleroi 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in RFC Meux vs ROC Charleroi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.