Football · Austria Landesliga · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: UFV Thalgau vs SV Strasswalchen

Team pages: SV Strasswalchen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

UFV Thalgau1.9

SV Strasswalchen2.08

1X2

35% 24% 42%

UFV Thalgau Draw SV Strasswalchen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

UFV Thalgau 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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SV Strasswalchen 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

UFV Thalgau 0–2–1 SV Strasswalchen (3 last)

UFV Thalgau3-3SV Strasswalchen
SV Strasswalchen3-1UFV Thalgau
UFV Thalgau3-3SV Strasswalchen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UFV Thalgau 1459 · SV Strasswalchen 1594

	UFV Thalgau	Draw	SV Strasswalchen
Our model	35%	22%	42%
Market	34%	25%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Strasswalchen (rating 1459 vs 1594).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UFV Thalgau	SV Strasswalchen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2.9	3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.3	4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 1.9 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:34 +6’	2.60	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UFV Thalgau 0–2–1 SV Strasswalchen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Austria Landesliga	UFV Thalgau	3-3 HT 0-2	SV Strasswalchen
22/08/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Strasswalchen	3-1 HT 2-0	UFV Thalgau
13/10/24 Austria Landesliga	UFV Thalgau	3-3 HT 2-1	SV Strasswalchen

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UFV Thalgau	SV Strasswalchen
SV Hallwang	9-1 W	5-2 W
SV Anthering	3-6 L	4-1 W
Salzburger AK	3-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SV Strasswalchen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UFV Thalgau

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	USV 1960 Berndorf Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
12/06	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
06/06	OTSU Hallein Austria Landesliga	1-4	1-5	0	5	L
03/06	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	0-2	3-4	–	–	L
29/05	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
22/05	SV Hallwang Austria Landesliga	5-0	9-1	–	–	W
14/05	SV Anthering Austria Landesliga	2-4	3-6	–	–	L
08/05	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-4	–	–	L

SV Strasswalchen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
11/08	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/08	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
11/06	SV Hallwang Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-2	13	5	W
06/06	SV Anthering Austria Landesliga	3-1	4-1	3	4	W
03/06	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	0-0	5-1	–	–	W
29/05	SV Grodig Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
22/05	Puch Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/05	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
09/05	TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga	2-4	3-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UFV Thalgau vs SV Strasswalchen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Strasswalchen win (42%). Probabilities: UFV Thalgau 35%, draw 24%, SV Strasswalchen 42%.

How many goals are expected in UFV Thalgau vs SV Strasswalchen?

The model expects 3.98 goals (UFV Thalgau 1.9 · SV Strasswalchen 2.08), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UFV Thalgau vs SV Strasswalchen?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.