Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 13/11, 19:00

Prediction: Kloetinge vs HSV Hoek

Team pages: Kloetinge · HSV Hoek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Kloetinge1.43

HSV Hoek1.93

1X2

28% 24% 49%

Kloetinge Draw HSV Hoek

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kloetinge 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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HSV Hoek 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kloetinge 1–0 HSV Hoek (1 last)

Kloetinge2-1HSV Hoek

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kloetinge 1408 · HSV Hoek 1457

	Kloetinge	Draw	HSV Hoek
Our model	28%	24%	48%
Market	28%	23%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HSV Hoek (rating 1408 vs 1457).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kloetinge	HSV Hoek
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.9	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.5	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	3.9 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.90

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +34’	3.20	3.90	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kloetinge 1–0–0 HSV Hoek

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/24 Netherlands Derde Divisie	Kloetinge	2-1 HT 0-0	HSV Hoek

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	34	9	31
2	IJsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	19	10	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	HHC Hardenberg	12	7	3	2	23	16	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	31	17	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	27	21	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	24	21	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	17	18	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	12	3	5	4	33	29	14
11	Amsterdamsche FC	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	16	25	14
13	Almere City Reserves	12	4	1	7	23	26	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	17	29	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	17	22	12
16	HSV Hoek	12	2	4	6	12	21	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	17	33	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	10	37	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kloetinge	HSV Hoek
Spakenburg	1-4 L	0-2 L
RKAV Volendam	1-1 D	1-2 L
IJsselmeervogels	0-2 L	0-3 L
Quick Boys	0-4 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kloetinge

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-4	6	6	L
24/10	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
17/10	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
10/10	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
03/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-4	1-4	3	2	L
26/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	3-3	6	2	D
19/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
12/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
29/08	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-4	5	1	L

HSV Hoek

LLDDLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-3	11	0	L
24/10	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-3	8	2	L
17/10	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
10/10	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	0-2	8	1	L
03/10	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-1	7	5	W
26/09	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-3	5	7	L
19/09	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
12/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
05/09	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	11	5	L
29/08	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kloetinge vs HSV Hoek?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HSV Hoek win (49%). Probabilities: Kloetinge 28%, draw 24%, HSV Hoek 49%.

How many goals are expected in Kloetinge vs HSV Hoek?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Kloetinge 1.43 · HSV Hoek 1.93), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kloetinge vs HSV Hoek?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.