Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 14/11, 15:00

Prediction: Kozakken Boys vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Team pages: Kozakken Boys · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.23Total

Kozakken Boys2.47

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1.76

1X2

53% 21% 27%

Kozakken Boys Draw Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Kozakken Boys 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kozakken Boys 0–2–4 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves (6 last)

Kozakken Boys1-4Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1-1Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys3-3Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves1-0Kozakken Boys
Kozakken Boys1-2Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves2-1Kozakken Boys

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kozakken Boys 1563 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1473

	Kozakken Boys	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Our model	53%	20%	27%
Market	53%	21%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 4.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kozakken Boys (rating 1563 vs 1473).
H2H favours Sparta Rotterdam Reserves: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kozakken Boys	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.9	2.1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.2	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.33

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +18’	1.70	4.33	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kozakken Boys 0–2–4 Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-4 HT 0-3	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
25/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	Kozakken Boys
10/08/24 Europe Friendlies	Kozakken Boys	3-3 HT 2-0	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
06/04/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	Kozakken Boys
04/11/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Kozakken Boys	1-2 HT 1-2	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
27/05/23 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	2-1 HT 1-0	Kozakken Boys

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	34	9	31
2	IJsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	19	10	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	HHC Hardenberg	12	7	3	2	23	16	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	31	17	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	27	21	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	24	21	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	17	18	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	12	3	5	4	33	29	14
11	Amsterdamsche FC	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	16	25	14
13	Almere City Reserves	12	4	1	7	23	26	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	17	29	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	17	22	12
16	HSV Hoek	12	2	4	6	12	21	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	17	33	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	10	37	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kozakken Boys	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves
Almere City Reserves	5-1 W	1-4 L
Barendrecht	0-1 L	2-3 L
HSV Hoek	0-0 D	3-0 W
Spakenburg	2-0 W	1-1 D
Katwijk	5-1 W	2-2 D
Koninklijke HFC	1-1 D	2-2 D
HHC Hardenberg	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kozakken Boys (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kozakken Boys

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-1	4	2	W
24/10	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
17/10	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
10/10	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
03/10	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	5-1	8	2	W
26/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
19/09	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
12/09	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	6-1	5	0	W
05/09	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-1	7	4	W
29/08	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	3-2	6	4	W

Sparta Rotterdam Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-3	5-5	5	4	D
24/10	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	3-3	3	2	D
17/10	RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
10/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-4	7	4	L
03/10	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-3	5	3	L
26/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-0	9	7	W
19/09	Spakenburg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-2	6	7	D
05/09	Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-2	5	3	D
29/08	HHC Hardenberg Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-2	1-3	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kozakken Boys vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kozakken Boys win (53%). Probabilities: Kozakken Boys 53%, draw 21%, Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 27%.

How many goals are expected in Kozakken Boys vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

The model expects 4.23 goals (Kozakken Boys 2.47 · Sparta Rotterdam Reserves 1.76), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kozakken Boys vs Sparta Rotterdam Reserves?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.