Football · Netherlands Tweede Divisie · 14/11, 14:30

Prediction: HHC Hardenberg vs RKAV Volendam

Team pages: HHC Hardenberg · RKAV Volendam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

HHC Hardenberg1.77

RKAV Volendam1.27

1X2

49% 24% 27%

HHC Hardenberg Draw RKAV Volendam

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

HHC Hardenberg 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLLWDWWW

RKAV Volendam 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDLLWWWW

Head-to-head

HHC Hardenberg 2–2 RKAV Volendam (4 last)

RKAV Volendam1-0HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg2-1RKAV Volendam
RKAV Volendam4-0HHC Hardenberg
HHC Hardenberg2-0RKAV Volendam

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HHC Hardenberg 1521 · RKAV Volendam 1553

	HHC Hardenberg	Draw	RKAV Volendam
Our model	48%	25%	27%
Market	49%	23%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HHC Hardenberg	RKAV Volendam
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.9	2.3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.90

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
16:57 +11’	1.83	3.90	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HHC Hardenberg 2–0–2 RKAV Volendam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	1-0 HT 0-0	HHC Hardenberg
18/10/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	2-1 HT 1-1	RKAV Volendam
22/03/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	RKAV Volendam	4-0 HT 1-0	HHC Hardenberg
19/10/24 Netherlands Tweede Divisie	HHC Hardenberg	2-0 HT 0-0	RKAV Volendam

Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Quick Boys	12	10	1	1	34	9	31
2	IJsselmeervogels	12	8	1	3	19	10	25
3	Kozakken Boys	12	7	3	2	30	14	24
4	HHC Hardenberg	12	7	3	2	23	16	24
5	De Treffers	12	6	4	2	31	17	22
6	GVVV Veenendaal	12	7	0	5	27	21	21
7	RKAV Volendam	12	6	3	3	24	21	21
8	Barendrecht	12	6	2	4	21	19	20
9	Spakenburg	12	5	2	5	17	18	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	12	3	5	4	33	29	14
11	Amsterdamsche FC	12	4	2	6	20	24	14
12	Katwijk	12	4	2	6	16	25	14
13	Almere City Reserves	12	4	1	7	23	26	13
14	Rijnsburgse Boys	12	4	1	7	17	29	13
15	Koninklijke HFC	12	3	3	6	17	22	12
16	HSV Hoek	12	2	4	6	12	21	10
17	Kloetinge	12	1	4	7	17	33	7
18	ROHDA Raalte	12	0	1	11	10	37	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HHC Hardenberg	RKAV Volendam
Rijnsburgse Boys	2-0 W	1-0 W
ROHDA Raalte	1-0 W	8-2 W
GVVV Veenendaal	2-1 W	2-3 L
Kloetinge	3-3 D	1-1 D
IJsselmeervogels	2-1 W	1-1 D
De Treffers	2-2 D	3-1 W
Sparta Rotterdam Reserves	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HHC Hardenberg (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HHC Hardenberg

WDDLLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
24/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
17/10	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	2-1	6	0	W
10/10	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	3-3	–	–	D
03/10	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
26/09	Quick Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
12/09	Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	10	3	D
05/09	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
29/08	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	2-1	3-1	7	6	W

RKAV Volendam

DWDDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
24/10	Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
17/10	Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
10/10	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Tweede Divisie	6-2	8-2	4	4	W
03/10	Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	1-4	10	5	L
26/09	GVVV Veenendaal Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-2	2-3	7	1	L
19/09	Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-1	1-1	10	5	D
12/09	Kloetinge Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	HSV Hoek Netherlands Tweede Divisie	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
29/08	IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie	0-1	1-1	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HHC Hardenberg vs RKAV Volendam?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HHC Hardenberg win (49%). Probabilities: HHC Hardenberg 49%, draw 24%, RKAV Volendam 27%.

How many goals are expected in HHC Hardenberg vs RKAV Volendam?

The model expects 3.05 goals (HHC Hardenberg 1.77 · RKAV Volendam 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HHC Hardenberg vs RKAV Volendam?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.