Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: MFK Karvina vs Viktoria Zizkov

Team pages: MFK Karvina · Viktoria Zizkov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

MFK Karvina2.29

Viktoria Zizkov0.89

1X2

68% 19% 13%

MFK Karvina Draw Viktoria Zizkov

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Karvina 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWWWW

Viktoria Zizkov 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWLWL

Head-to-head

MFK Karvina 0–1–2 Viktoria Zizkov (3 last)

MFK Karvina0-2Viktoria Zizkov
MFK Karvina1-1Viktoria Zizkov
Viktoria Zizkov1-0MFK Karvina

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Karvina 1563 · Viktoria Zizkov 1482

	MFK Karvina	Draw	Viktoria Zizkov
Our model	68%	20%	12%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Karvina (rating 1563 vs 1482).
H2H favours Viktoria Zizkov: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Karvina	Viktoria Zizkov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 6.1	3.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:57 +7’	1.33	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina 0–1–2 Viktoria Zizkov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/19 Czechia Cup	MFK Karvina	0-2 HT 0-1	Viktoria Zizkov
28/03/15 Czechia 2. Liga	MFK Karvina	1-1 HT 0-0	Viktoria Zizkov
14/09/14 Czechia 2. Liga	Viktoria Zizkov	1-0 HT 1-0	MFK Karvina

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
2	Slavia Prague B	4	2	2	0	9	6	8
3	FK Pribram	4	2	2	0	7	5	8
4	FC Silon Taborsko	4	2	2	0	7	3	8
5	FK Usti nad Labem	4	2	2	0	7	4	8
6	Vysocina Jihlava	4	2	1	1	6	2	7
7	Dukla Praha	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
8	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	4	1	2	1	7	5	5
9	SK Kladno	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
10	Banik Ostrava B	4	1	1	2	7	6	4
11	Opava	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
12	Trinec	4	0	3	1	3	4	3
13	Viktoria Zizkov	4	1	0	3	3	9	3
14	SK Prostejov	4	0	2	2	4	6	2
15	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	4	0	2	2	6	11	2
16	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	4	0	1	3	0	8	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Karvina	Viktoria Zizkov
SK Prostejov	2-1 W	1-0 W
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	1-0 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Karvina (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MFK Karvina

LLWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	3-2	5-2	7	3	W
12/08	FC Brumov Czechia Cup	1-0	4-0	9	5	W
07/08	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
31/07	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
27/07	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
18/07	Ruch Chorzow Club Friendly List	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
10/07	MSK Povazska Bystrica Club Friendly List	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
07/07	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Club Friendly List	0-1	2-1	5	2	W
04/07	Wisla Krakow Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
23/05	Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League	0-2	0-4	2	1	L

Viktoria Zizkov

LWLWWLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	0-3	1-4	4	7	L
12/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia Cup	2-1	4-2	4	2	W
07/08	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-4	5	8	L
31/07	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
24/07	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
17/07	Banik Most-Sous Europe Friendlies	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
11/07	Aritma Praha Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	12	1	W
04/07	Mlada Boleslav Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-3	4	2	L
27/06	Slavia Prague B Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-2	5	0	W
20/06	Vysocina Jihlava Europe Friendlies	2-2	2-3	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina vs Viktoria Zizkov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Karvina win (68%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina 68%, draw 19%, Viktoria Zizkov 13%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina vs Viktoria Zizkov?

The model expects 3.19 goals (MFK Karvina 2.29 · Viktoria Zizkov 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Karvina vs Viktoria Zizkov?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.