Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 27/07, 18:00
Prediction: Opava vs MFK Karvina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Opava1.36
MFK Karvina1.2
1X2
Opava
Draw
MFK Karvina
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Opava
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
MFK Karvina
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Opava
1–1–4
MFK Karvina
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Opava 1421 · MFK Karvina 1507
| Opava | Draw | MFK Karvina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Karvina (rating 1421 vs 1507).
- H2H favours MFK Karvina: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Opava | MFK Karvina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Opava 1–1–4 MFK Karvina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Europe Friendlies | MFK Karvina | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Opava |
| 11/01/25 Europe Friendlies | MFK Karvina | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Opava |
| 13/01/24 Club Friendly List | MFK Karvina | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Opava |
| 01/05/23 Czechia 2. Liga | Opava | 2-1 HT 1-1 | MFK Karvina |
| 08/10/22 Czechia 2. Liga | MFK Karvina | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Opava |
| 03/07/21 Europe Friendlies | Opava | 0-1 HT 0-0 | MFK Karvina |
Standings · Czechia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Prostejov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dukla Praha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banik Ostrava B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Silon Taborsko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vysocina Jihlava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trinec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Pribram | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FK Usti nad Labem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Viktoria Zizkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MFK Karvina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Opava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SK Kladno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Slavia Prague B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Opava
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | FC Petrzalka Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Polonia Bytom Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | TJ Unie Hlubina Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Sparta Prague Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | SK Prostejov Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | MSK Zilina Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | FK Pribram Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | SK Artis Brno Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 06/05 | FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
MFK Karvina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Ruch Chorzow Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 07/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Wisla Krakow Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Jablonec Czechia Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 16/05 | Sigma Olomouc Czechia First League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Pardubice Czechia First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Mlada Boleslav Czechia First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Opava vs MFK Karvina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Opava win (40%). Probabilities: Opava 40%, draw 27%, MFK Karvina 33%.
How many goals are expected in Opava vs MFK Karvina?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Opava 1.36 · MFK Karvina 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Opava vs MFK Karvina?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.