Football · Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women · 06/07, 21:00

Prediction: Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)

Expected goals: 3.7 (Crusaders Strikers (W) 2.48 · Ballymena Utd (W) 1.22). The model gives 64% home, 20% draw, 16% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (58%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Crusaders Strikers (W) sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Ballymena Utd (W) arrives on a 1-3-6 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Crusaders Strikers (W) and 0 for Ballymena Utd (W).

64%1
64% 20% 16%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Crusaders Strikers (W) 1475 · Ballymena Utd (W) 1441
Crusaders Strikers (W)DrawBallymena Utd (W)
Our model64%19%16%
Market64%20%16%
Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.7Crusaders Strikers (W) 2.48 · Ballymena Utd (W) 1.22
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Crusaders Strikers (W): 4-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Crusaders Strikers (W)Ballymena Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 30.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 1.40.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/0/40%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.61.6 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.3 / 0.12.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders Strikers (W) 400 Ballymena Utd (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
19/07/23
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Ballymena Utd (W)1-6
HT 1-3
Crusaders Strikers (W)
23/04/23
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Crusaders Strikers (W)3-0
HT 2-0
Ballymena Utd (W)
05/07/17
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Ballymena Utd (W)0-4
HT 0-2
Crusaders Strikers (W)
12/04/17
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
Crusaders Strikers (W)3-0
HT 1-0
Ballymena Utd (W)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crusaders Strikers (W)

LDWLWWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Derry City (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
1-2 3-3 14 D
26/06 Linfield (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
1-4 1-9 31 L
22/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield Women
3-0 5-0 110 W
19/06 Glentoran (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
0-3 2-4 12 L
29/05 Lisburn (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
2-0 3-0 72 W
22/05 Lisburn Rangers (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
2-0 3-1 31 W
15/05 Cliftonville (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
0-3 0-7 10 L
08/05 Derry City (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
3-1 3-1 82 W
01/05 Larne FC (W)
Northern Ireland Premier League Women
2-0 2-2 D
26/04 Lisburn (W)
Northern Ireland League Cup Women
2-1 2-3 61 L

Ballymena Utd (W)

LLDLLLDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 Strabane Athletic (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
1-0 2-0 21 W
17/06 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 2-4 44 L
12/06 Ballyclare Comrades (W)
Northern Ireland Cup Women
1-1 2-2 D
22/05 Mid Ulster (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-0 13 D
13/05 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 0-3 41 L
06/05 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-2 0-3 20 L
08/04 Bangor FC (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-1 03 L
25/03 Ballymoney United (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 1-1 81 D
03/09 Sion Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-0 0-2 03 L
27/08 St. James Swifts (W)
Northern Ireland Championship Women
0-1 0-2 55 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Crusaders Strikers (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Crusaders Strikers (W) 64%, draw 20%, Ballymena Utd (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?

The model expects 3.7 goals (Crusaders Strikers (W) 2.48 · Ballymena Utd (W) 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Crusaders Strikers (W) vs Ballymena Utd (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.