Prediction: North Sunshine Eagles vs Preston Lions
Expected goals: 2.74 (North Sunshine Eagles 0.59 · Preston Lions 2.16). The model gives 9% home, 17% draw, 74% away. Under 3.5 goals (61%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Recent form leaves North Sunshine Eagles with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Preston Lions has piled up 7-1-2 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, North Sunshine Eagles won 0 and Preston Lions 4, with 1 draw.
| North Sunshine Eagles | Draw | Preston Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 19% | 73% |
| Market | 10% | 15% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Preston Lions (rating 1458 vs 1579).
- H2H favours Preston Lions: 4-1-0.
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Sunshine Eagles | Preston Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.9 | 3.6 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Sunshine Eagles 0–1–4 Preston Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 3 | Preston Lions | 2-0 HT 1-0 | North Sunshine Eagles |
| 19/03/22 Australia Victoria Premier League 3 | North Sunshine Eagles | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Preston Lions |
| 28/07/19 Australia Victoria State League 1 | Preston Lions | 3-0 HT 2-0 | North Sunshine Eagles |
| 06/08/17 Australia Victoria State League 1 | Preston Lions | 3-0 HT 1-0 | North Sunshine Eagles |
| 12/04/17 Australia FFA Cup | North Sunshine Eagles | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Preston Lions |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Sunshine Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Manningham United Blues Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 20/06 | Northcote City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Melbourne Srbija Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Melbourne Knights Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | Avondale Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | North Geelong Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Langwarrin Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Western United FC NPL Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Eltham Redbacks Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Brunswick City Australia Victoria Premier League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
Preston Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/04 | Keilor Park Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 22 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Sunshine Eagles vs Preston Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Preston Lions win (74%). Probabilities: North Sunshine Eagles 9%, draw 17%, Preston Lions 74%.
How many goals are expected in North Sunshine Eagles vs Preston Lions?
The model expects 2.74 goals (North Sunshine Eagles 0.59 · Preston Lions 2.16), with a 61% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in North Sunshine Eagles vs Preston Lions?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.