Football · Portugal Super Cup · 01/08, 21:15

Prediction: FC Porto vs SCU Torreense

Team pages: FC Porto · SCU Torreense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
FC Porto2.45
SCU Torreense0.45
1X2
86% 11% 4%
FC Porto Draw SCU Torreense
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Porto 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWLWLW
SCU Torreense 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWDDLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Porto 1534 · SCU Torreense 1542
FC PortoDrawSCU Torreense
Our model81%15%4%
Market90%7%3%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC PortoSCU Torreense
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.81.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.72.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.34.8 / 0.2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC PortoSCU Torreense
Sporting 0-0 D 1-1 D
Estoril 3-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Porto (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Porto

WLWDWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Aston Villa
Elite Club Friendlies
2-1 2-1 42 W
22/07 Gil Vicente
Elite Club Friendlies
0-0 0-1 42 L
16/05 Santa Clara
Portugal Primeira Liga
0-0 1-0 80 W
10/05 AVS
Portugal Primeira Liga
0-1 1-3 74 L
02/05 Alverca
Portugal Primeira Liga
1-0 1-0 55 W
26/04 Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga
2-0 2-1 66 W
22/04 Sporting
Portugal Cup
0-0 0-0 67 D
19/04 Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga
0-0 2-0 89 W
16/04 Nottm Forest
UEFA Europa League
0-1 0-1 15 L
12/04 Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga
2-0 3-1 84 W

SCU Torreense

WWDWWWDDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Estoril
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 52 D
28/05 Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga Play-Off
0-1 0-2 96 L
24/05 Sporting
Portugal Cup
1-0 1-1 26 D
20/05 Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga Play-Off
0-0 0-0 57 D
16/05 Vizela
Portugal Segunda Liga
1-0 4-0 33 W
09/05 Lusitania Lourosa
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-1 2-1 75 W
04/05 Penafiel
Portugal Segunda Liga
3-2 3-2 44 W
28/04 Feirense
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 0-0 46 D
23/04 AD Fafe
Portugal Cup
0-0 2-0 105 W
18/04 Maritimo
Portugal Segunda Liga
0-0 1-0 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Porto vs SCU Torreense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Porto win (86%). Probabilities: FC Porto 86%, draw 11%, SCU Torreense 4%.

How many goals are expected in FC Porto vs SCU Torreense?

The model expects 2.91 goals (FC Porto 2.45 · SCU Torreense 0.45), with a 65% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Porto vs SCU Torreense?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.