Prediction: Atlantida SC vs Atletico Colegiales
Expected goals: 2.91 (Atlantida SC 1.9 · Atletico Colegiales 1.02). The model gives 56% home, 25% draw, 18% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Atlantida SC is 3-5-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Atletico Colegiales 3-2-5 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Atlantida SC and 1 for Atletico Colegiales.
| Atlantida SC | Draw | Atletico Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlantida SC (rating 1523 vs 1469).
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlantida SC | Atletico Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantida SC 1–0–1 Atletico Colegiales
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Paraguay Tercera Division | Atletico Colegiales | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atlantida SC |
| 25/05/25 Paraguay Tercera Division | Atlantida SC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Colegiales |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlantida SC | Atletico Colegiales |
|---|---|---|
| CS Limpeno | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Silvio Pettirossi | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| River Plate Asuncion | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlantida SC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlantida SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | 12 De Octubre San Domingo Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 06/06 | 29 de Septiembre FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 02/06 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | 12 de Octubre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | 24 de Setiembre Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 08/05 | Club General Martin Ledesma Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 28/04 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Cristobal Colon JAS Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Atletico Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Club Oriental Asuncion Paraguay Cup |
2-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Club Olimpia de Ita Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/06 | CS Limpeno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Tercera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/06 | Club General Diaz Paraguay Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Silvio Pettirossi Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | 3 de Febrero FBC Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 29/04 | Club 1 de Marzo Fdm Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 29/04 | Club 1 de Marzo Pilar Paraguay Tercera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlantida SC vs Atletico Colegiales?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlantida SC win (56%). Probabilities: Atlantida SC 56%, draw 25%, Atletico Colegiales 18%.
How many goals are expected in Atlantida SC vs Atletico Colegiales?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Atlantida SC 1.9 · Atletico Colegiales 1.02), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlantida SC vs Atletico Colegiales?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.