Football · Austria Landesliga · 21/08, 19:00

Prediction: SC Fürstenfeld vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

SC Fürstenfeld1.96

TUS Bad Waltersdorf1.81

1X2

42% 23% 36%

SC Fürstenfeld Draw TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SC Fürstenfeld 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLWWD

TUS Bad Waltersdorf 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLWWLW

Head-to-head

SC Fürstenfeld 1–2–2 TUS Bad Waltersdorf (5 last)

TUS Bad Waltersdorf0-0SC Fürstenfeld
SC Fürstenfeld1-1TUS Bad Waltersdorf
TUS Bad Waltersdorf1-0SC Fürstenfeld
SC Fürstenfeld2-1TUS Bad Waltersdorf
SC Fürstenfeld3-5TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Fürstenfeld 1544 · TUS Bad Waltersdorf 1515

	SC Fürstenfeld	Draw	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
Our model	41%	23%	36%
Market	42%	22%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours TUS Bad Waltersdorf: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Fürstenfeld	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.6	2.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.8	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X4.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +35’	2.15	4.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Fürstenfeld 1–2–2 TUS Bad Waltersdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Austria Landesliga	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	0-0 HT 0-0	SC Fürstenfeld
02/10/25 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	1-1 HT 0-1	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
23/03/25 Austria Landesliga	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	1-0 HT 1-0	SC Fürstenfeld
14/08/24 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	2-1 HT 1-0	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
21/02/17 Club Friendly List	SC Fürstenfeld	3-5 HT 2-4	TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Fürstenfeld	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
SV Wildon	3-3 D	2-3 L
Leoben DSV	4-2 W	6-2 W
ASK Koflach	1-2 L	5-1 W
USV Gnas	1-0 W	1-2 L
Ilzer SV	6-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Fürstenfeld (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SC Fürstenfeld

WDWLWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/07	SV Tillmitsch Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
04/07	USV Draxler Mooskirchen Europe Friendlies	2-1	7-4	–	–	W
05/06	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	10	6	L
29/05	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
22/05	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-2	5	0	W
13/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
08/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
05/05	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
01/05	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	2-0	6-1	4	3	W

TUS Bad Waltersdorf

LLWDDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	5	6	W
05/06	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-3	4	0	L
29/05	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	4-1	6-2	–	–	W
22/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-1	2	0	W
15/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
09/05	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-3	–	–	D
05/05	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
30/04	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
24/04	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-3	3	4	L
17/04	SV Allerheiligen Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Fürstenfeld vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Fürstenfeld win (42%). Probabilities: SC Fürstenfeld 42%, draw 23%, TUS Bad Waltersdorf 36%.

How many goals are expected in SC Fürstenfeld vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf?

The model expects 3.78 goals (SC Fürstenfeld 1.96 · TUS Bad Waltersdorf 1.81), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Fürstenfeld vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.