Football · Austria Landesliga · 28/08, 19:00

Prediction: TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs SV Pachern

Team pages: TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

TUS Bad Waltersdorf2.48

SV Pachern1.22

1X2

64% 20% 16%

TUS Bad Waltersdorf Draw SV Pachern

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

TUS Bad Waltersdorf 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWWLWD

SV Pachern 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLDLL

Head-to-head

TUS Bad Waltersdorf 2–0 SV Pachern (2 last)

SV Pachern0-1TUS Bad Waltersdorf
TUS Bad Waltersdorf3-1SV Pachern

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TUS Bad Waltersdorf 1545 · SV Pachern 1366

	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	Draw	SV Pachern
Our model	64%	19%	16%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TUS Bad Waltersdorf (rating 1545 vs 1366).
H2H favours TUS Bad Waltersdorf: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	SV Pachern
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.6	0.8 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.1	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	2.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:53 +15’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TUS Bad Waltersdorf 2–0–0 SV Pachern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Pachern	0-1 HT 0-1	TUS Bad Waltersdorf
29/08/25 Austria Landesliga	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	3-1 HT 2-0	SV Pachern

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Helfort 15	1	1	0	7	0	3
2	LAC Inter	1	1	0	3	1	3
3	Team Wiener Linien	1	1	0	2	0	3
4	Red Star Penzing	1	1	0	3	2	3
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	1	1	0	2	1	3
5	Sportunion Mauer	1	1	0	2	1	3
7	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	FC 1980 Wien	1	0	1	2	3	0
12	First Vienna II	1	0	1	1	2	0
12	SV Schwechat	1	0	1	1	2	0
14	FV Austria XIII	1	0	1	1	3	0
15	Slovan HAC	1	0	1	0	2	0
16	Simmeringer SC	1	0	1	0	7	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	SV Pachern
Grossklein	2-0 W	1-3 L
SV Wildon	2-3 L	0-5 L
Leoben DSV	6-2 W	2-3 L
Ilzer SV	3-3 D	0-2 L
SC Bruck an der Mur	1-3 L	0-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: TUS Bad Waltersdorf (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TUS Bad Waltersdorf

LWDDLWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/08	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	5	6	W
05/06	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-3	4	0	L
29/05	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	4-1	6-2	–	–	W
22/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-1	2	0	W
15/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
09/05	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-3	–	–	D
05/05	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
30/04	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
24/04	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-3	3	4	L

SV Pachern

LLLLLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
14/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	12	5	L
05/06	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/05	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
22/05	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-3	2	3	L
13/05	FC Gamlitz Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	7	6	L
08/05	SV Tillmitsch Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
05/05	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
30/04	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
24/04	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs SV Pachern?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TUS Bad Waltersdorf win (64%). Probabilities: TUS Bad Waltersdorf 64%, draw 20%, SV Pachern 16%.

How many goals are expected in TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs SV Pachern?

The model expects 3.7 goals (TUS Bad Waltersdorf 2.48 · SV Pachern 1.22), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs SV Pachern?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.