Football · Austria Landesliga · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: SC Fürstenfeld vs Ilzer SV

Team pages: SC Fürstenfeld · Ilzer SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.11Total

SC Fürstenfeld1.74

Ilzer SV2.37

1X2

28% 21% 51%

SC Fürstenfeld Draw Ilzer SV

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Fürstenfeld 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWLLWL

Ilzer SV 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDWLD

Head-to-head

SC Fürstenfeld 1–1–4 Ilzer SV (6 last)

SC Fürstenfeld1-3Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV1-6SC Fürstenfeld
SC Fürstenfeld2-4Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV5-2SC Fürstenfeld
SC Fürstenfeld0-0Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV2-0SC Fürstenfeld

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Fürstenfeld 1489 · Ilzer SV 1578

	SC Fürstenfeld	Draw	Ilzer SV
Our model	28%	21%	51%
Market	28%	21%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilzer SV (rating 1489 vs 1578).
H2H favours Ilzer SV: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Fürstenfeld	Ilzer SV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	4 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.20

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:00 +21’	3.25	4.20	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Fürstenfeld 1–1–4 Ilzer SV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/09/26 Austria Amateur Cup	SC Fürstenfeld	1-3 HT 1-1	Ilzer SV
01/05/26 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	1-6 HT 0-2	SC Fürstenfeld
27/09/25 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	2-4 HT 2-1	Ilzer SV
26/04/25 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	5-2 HT 3-1	SC Fürstenfeld
21/09/24 Austria Landesliga	SC Fürstenfeld	0-0 HT 0-0	Ilzer SV
13/04/24 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	2-0 HT 1-0	SC Fürstenfeld

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Red Star Penzing	5	5	0	0	13	4	15
2	TWL Elektra	5	5	0	0	12	4	15
3	Sportunion Mauer	5	4	1	0	10	1	13
4	SV Schwechat	5	3	0	2	11	8	9
5	LAC Inter	5	3	0	2	11	12	9
6	Helfort 15	5	2	1	2	11	6	7
7	Floridsdorfer AC II	5	2	1	2	8	6	7
8	First Vienna II	5	2	0	3	11	11	6
9	WAF Brigittenau	4	2	0	2	7	8	6
10	Post SV	5	1	2	2	13	8	5
11	Slovan HAC	5	1	2	2	7	6	5
12	FV Austria XIII	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	Hellas Kagran	5	1	1	3	6	11	4
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	4	1	0	3	5	12	3
15	FC 1980 Wien	5	1	0	4	3	14	3
16	Simmeringer SC	5	0	0	5	2	18	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Fürstenfeld	Ilzer SV
SV Lebring	2-1 W	2-2 D
SV Pachern	0-2 L	1-2 L
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ilzer SV (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Fürstenfeld

WDLDDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-3	1	4	L
15/09	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	1	4	W
11/09	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	1	4	L
04/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
28/08	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
21/08	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
14/08	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
05/06	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	10	6	L
29/05	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
22/05	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-2	5	0	W

Ilzer SV

LWWWWWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-2	1	4	D
15/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	8	10	L
11/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
04/09	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
28/08	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-1	5-2	–	–	W
22/08	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	10	2	W
05/06	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
29/05	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
21/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Fürstenfeld vs Ilzer SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ilzer SV win (51%). Probabilities: SC Fürstenfeld 28%, draw 21%, Ilzer SV 51%.

How many goals are expected in SC Fürstenfeld vs Ilzer SV?

The model expects 4.11 goals (SC Fürstenfeld 1.74 · Ilzer SV 2.37), with a 58% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Fürstenfeld vs Ilzer SV?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.