Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 07/11, 10:00

Prediction: FC Chernigiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II

Team pages: FC Chernigiv · Kolos Kovalivka II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

FC Chernigiv1.79

Kolos Kovalivka II1.14

1X2

52% 25% 23%

FC Chernigiv Draw Kolos Kovalivka II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Chernigiv 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDDLWLLLWL

Kolos Kovalivka II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLDLL

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Chernigiv (rating 1484 vs 1441).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Chernigiv	Kolos Kovalivka II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.5	2.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.79

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.56 → 1.56	Pinn 1.56
X	3.82 → 3.82	Pinn 3.82
2	4.57 → 4.57	Pinn 4.57

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
23:22 +35’	1.56	3.82	4.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Viktoriya Sumy	14	8	4	2	19	11	28
2	FSC Feniks-Mariupol	14	8	3	3	23	14	27
3	Ahrobiznes Volochysk	13	8	2	3	22	14	26
4	FK Kulykiv-Bilka	14	7	3	4	28	17	24
5	PFC Oleksandria	14	6	6	2	19	11	24
6	SC Poltava	14	7	3	4	25	13	24
7	Lokomotiv Kyiv	14	5	5	4	19	17	20
8	Nyva Ternopil	14	4	7	3	17	13	19
9	FC Metalist Kharkiv	14	5	3	6	17	16	18
10	Ingulets Petrovo	13	5	2	6	14	18	17
11	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk	14	4	4	6	13	18	16
12	UCSA	14	3	5	6	18	23	14
13	Kolos Kovalivka II	14	4	1	9	12	26	13
14	FC Chernigiv	12	2	4	6	13	19	10
15	FC Probiy Horodenka	14	2	4	8	14	34	10
16	Polissya Zhytomyr II	14	1	6	7	18	27	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Chernigiv	Kolos Kovalivka II
SC Poltava	2-3 L	0-1 L
FC Metalist Kharkiv	0-2 L	0-4 L
UCSA	2-3 L	0-0 D
Nyva Ternopil	1-0 W	1-3 L
PFC Oleksandria	0-1 L	0-2 L
Polissya Zhytomyr II	2-2 D	3-0 W
FC Probiy Horodenka	1-1 D	4-2 W
FK Kulykiv-Bilka	1-1 D	0-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FC Chernigiv (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Chernigiv

DDDLWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga	1-1	1-2	0	6	L
11/10	Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
02/10	SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga	1-1	2-3	5	6	L
27/09	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-2	4	3	L
11/09	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	2-3	4	6	L
05/09	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
09/08	FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D

Kolos Kovalivka II

LWLWWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-2	0-4	4	6	L
25/10	Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-3	3	2	L
04/10	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga	0-1	0-2	4	7	L
28/09	Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	3-0	6	6	W
19/09	FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
04/09	Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
28/08	SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga	0-0	0-1	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Chernigiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Chernigiv win (52%). Probabilities: FC Chernigiv 52%, draw 25%, Kolos Kovalivka II 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Chernigiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II?

The model expects 2.93 goals (FC Chernigiv 1.79 · Kolos Kovalivka II 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Chernigiv vs Kolos Kovalivka II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.