Football · Austria Landesliga · 21/08, 18:30

Prediction: SV Spittal/Drau vs TSU Matrei

Team pages: SV Spittal/Drau · TSU Matrei

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

SV Spittal/Drau1.37

TSU Matrei1.37

1X2

38% 25% 38%

SV Spittal/Drau Draw TSU Matrei

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SV Spittal/Drau 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLWLLD

TSU Matrei 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

SV Spittal/Drau 1–1 TSU Matrei (2 last)

TSU Matrei0-1SV Spittal/Drau
SV Spittal/Drau0-3TSU Matrei

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Spittal/Drau 1466 · TSU Matrei 1471

	SV Spittal/Drau	Draw	TSU Matrei
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Spittal/Drau	TSU Matrei
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.9	1 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:13 +2’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Spittal/Drau 1–0–1 TSU Matrei

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Austria Landesliga	TSU Matrei	0-1 HT 0-1	SV Spittal/Drau
17/08/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Spittal/Drau	0-3 HT 0-2	TSU Matrei

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Spittal/Drau	TSU Matrei
TSV Grafenstein	1-1 D	1-3 L
Sirnitz	1-2 L	3-1 W
ATUS Ferlach	0-1 L	0-2 L
SV Donau Klagenfurt	0-2 L	0-3 L
ASKO Kottmannsdorf	0-0 D	2-0 W
SAK Klagenfurt	2-2 D	0-3 L
Austria Klagenfurt II	3-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SV Spittal/Drau (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Spittal/Drau

WLDDLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
07/08	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
31/07	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
03/06	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-1	7	0	W
29/05	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
22/05	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-4	2	3	L
17/05	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/05	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	4	2	D
08/05	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
03/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-1	7	3	W

TSU Matrei

LLWLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Sirnitz Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
08/08	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	1	3	L
31/07	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/06	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-3	4	3	L
29/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
16/05	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
14/05	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	SVG Bleiburg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/05	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Spittal/Drau vs TSU Matrei?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Spittal/Drau win (38%). Probabilities: SV Spittal/Drau 38%, draw 25%, TSU Matrei 38%.

How many goals are expected in SV Spittal/Drau vs TSU Matrei?

The model expects 2.75 goals (SV Spittal/Drau 1.37 · TSU Matrei 1.37), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Spittal/Drau vs TSU Matrei?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.