Football · Austria Landesliga · 13/11, 19:00

Prediction: ASK Ebreichsdorf vs ASK Ybbs

Team pages: ASK Ebreichsdorf · ASK Ybbs

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.78Total

ASK Ebreichsdorf2.14

ASK Ybbs1.63

1X2

49% 22% 29%

ASK Ebreichsdorf Draw ASK Ybbs

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

ASK Ebreichsdorf 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWWLL

ASK Ybbs 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWDLWL

Head-to-head

ASK Ebreichsdorf 1–1–0 ASK Ybbs (2 last)

ASK Ybbs1-4ASK Ebreichsdorf
ASK Ebreichsdorf2-2ASK Ybbs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASK Ebreichsdorf 1551 · ASK Ybbs 1499

	ASK Ebreichsdorf	Draw	ASK Ybbs
Our model	49%	22%	29%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASK Ebreichsdorf (rating 1551 vs 1499).
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASK Ebreichsdorf	ASK Ybbs
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.8	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5	3.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.5	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +2’	1.83	4.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASK Ebreichsdorf 1–1–0 ASK Ybbs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Austria Landesliga	ASK Ybbs	1-4 HT 0-2	ASK Ebreichsdorf
14/11/25 Austria Landesliga	ASK Ebreichsdorf	2-2 HT 1-1	ASK Ybbs

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	12	9	3	0	31	8	30
2	Red Star Penzing	12	8	2	2	24	15	26
3	LAC Inter	12	8	1	3	26	19	25
4	TWL Elektra	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
5	Helfort 15	12	6	4	2	19	9	22
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	12	7	1	4	24	16	22
7	First Vienna II	12	5	1	6	22	22	16
8	FC 1980 Wien	12	4	3	5	19	30	15
9	FV Austria XIII	12	3	5	4	17	16	14
10	Slovan HAC	12	3	5	4	15	19	14
11	WAF Brigittenau	12	4	2	6	17	22	14
12	SV Schwechat	12	4	1	7	17	19	13
13	Hellas Kagran	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
14	Simmeringer SC	12	3	0	9	9	30	9
15	Post SV	12	2	2	8	23	25	8
16	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	12	1	4	7	12	25	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASK Ebreichsdorf	ASK Ybbs
ASV Hohenau	0-3 L	0-4 L
SG Ardagger/Neustadtl	0-3 L	1-1 D
Langenrohr	1-0 W	2-0 W
SC Wieselburg	2-1 W	1-3 L
SC Zwettl	5-0 W	2-2 D
SCU Kilb	3-1 W	2-0 W
St. Peter/Au	2-2 D	3-0 W
SC Retz	4-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ASK Ebreichsdorf (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASK Ebreichsdorf

WDWDWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	ASV Hohenau Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/10	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
23/10	Langenrohr Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/10	SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
09/10	SC Zwettl Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
02/10	SCU Kilb Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
25/09	St. Peter/Au Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
18/09	SC Retz Austria Landesliga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	Wiener Neustadt Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
04/09	Admira Wacker Modling II Austria Landesliga	5-1	7-5	–	–	W

ASK Ybbs

WWWDLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	St Polten II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
31/10	SKU Amstetten II Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
24/10	ASV Hohenau Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
17/10	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
09/10	Langenrohr Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
03/10	SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
25/09	SC Zwettl Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	SCU Kilb Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/09	St. Peter/Au Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
05/09	SC Retz Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASK Ebreichsdorf vs ASK Ybbs?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASK Ebreichsdorf win (49%). Probabilities: ASK Ebreichsdorf 49%, draw 22%, ASK Ybbs 29%.

How many goals are expected in ASK Ebreichsdorf vs ASK Ybbs?

The model expects 3.78 goals (ASK Ebreichsdorf 2.14 · ASK Ybbs 1.63), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASK Ebreichsdorf vs ASK Ybbs?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.