Prediction: Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City
Expected goals: 2.28 (Tanzania Prisons 1.46 · Mbeya City 0.81). The model gives 51% home, 29% draw, 20% away. Over 2 goals (54%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Tanzania Prisons with 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Mbeya City has piled up 3-3-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Tanzania Prisons and 2 for Mbeya City, with 2 draws.
| Tanzania Prisons | Draw | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tanzania Prisons | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.1 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tanzania Prisons 2–2–2 Mbeya City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Tanzania Premier League Play-Offs | Mbeya City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tanzania Prisons |
| 04/05/26 Tanzania Premier League | Tanzania Prisons | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Mbeya City |
| 21/10/25 Tanzania Premier League | Mbeya City | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Tanzania Prisons |
| 25/12/22 Tanzania Premier League | Mbeya City | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Tanzania Prisons |
| 09/09/22 Tanzania Premier League | Tanzania Prisons | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Mbeya City |
| 27/02/22 Tanzania Premier League | Tanzania Prisons | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Mbeya City |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba Sports Club | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46 | 12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30 | 33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba SC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo FC | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa FC | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 27 | 33 |
| 12 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 48 | 27 |
| 16 | KMC FC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 53 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tanzania Prisons | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Mtibwa Sugar | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Singida Black Stars | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| JKT Tanzania | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Dodoma Jiji FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Pamba SC | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Simba Sports Club | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tanzania Prisons (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tanzania Prisons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | Mashujaa FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 14/06 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Azam FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 14/05 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
Mbeya City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 24/06 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/06 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Mtibwa Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/05 | Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | JKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tanzania Prisons win (51%). Probabilities: Tanzania Prisons 51%, draw 29%, Mbeya City 20%.
How many goals are expected in Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Tanzania Prisons 1.46 · Mbeya City 0.81), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tanzania Prisons vs Mbeya City?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.