Football · UAE Pro League · 15/08, 18:45

Prediction: Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Khor Fakkan1.44

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1.67

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Khor Fakkan Draw Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Khor Fakkan 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLWDDDDL

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDDLWLW

Head-to-head

Khor Fakkan 0–2–4 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (6 last)

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai3-3Khor Fakkan
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai3-1Khor Fakkan
Khor Fakkan0-1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai4-0Khor Fakkan
Khor Fakkan1-1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Khor Fakkan0-3Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (rating 1455 vs 1545).
H2H favours Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Khor Fakkan	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.78

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.39 → 5.39	Pinn 5.39
X	4.63 → 4.63	Pinn 4.63
2	1.46 → 1.46	Pinn 1.46

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:19 +2’	5.39	4.63	1.46

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Khor Fakkan 0–2–4 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 UAE Pro League	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	3-3 HT 1-2	Khor Fakkan
01/02/26 UAE Cup	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	3-1 HT 1-0	Khor Fakkan
20/11/25 UAE Pro League	Khor Fakkan	0-1 HT 0-0	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
23/04/25 UAE Pro League	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	4-0 HT 1-0	Khor Fakkan
08/12/24 UAE Pro League	Khor Fakkan	1-1 HT 0-1	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
01/03/24 UAE Pro League	Khor Fakkan	0-3 HT 0-0	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Standings · UAE Pro League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ajman SCC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Ain SCC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Dhafra SCC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Jazira SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Nasr SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Wasl SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Baniyas SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dubai United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hatta Dubai	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Al Ittihad Kalba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Khor Fakkan	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sharjah SCC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Khor Fakkan	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Al Bataeh	1-1 D	1-1 D
Baniyas SC	2-1 W	2-2 D
Al Nasr SC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Khor Fakkan

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/05	Sharjah SCC UAE Pro League	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
11/05	Al Wahda Abu Dhabi UAE Pro League	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
05/05	Al Ittihad Kalba UAE Pro League	0-0	0-0	11	4	D
29/04	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai UAE Pro League	2-1	3-3	3	4	D
11/04	Al Bataeh UAE Pro League	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
05/04	Baniyas SC UAE Pro League	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
16/03	Al Jazira SC UAE Pro League	1-3	1-3	6	2	L
11/03	Dibba Al Fujairah UAE Pro League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
27/02	Al Ain SCC UAE Pro League	0-1	2-3	2	5	L
22/02	Al Nasr SC UAE Pro League	2-1	2-2	0	3	D

Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

DLDWDDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FC Liefering Club Friendly List	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
31/07	Mainz World Club Friendlies	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
28/07	Udinese World Club Friendlies	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
13/07	Sigma Olomouc World Club Friendlies	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
16/05	Al Bataeh UAE Pro League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
10/05	Baniyas SC UAE Pro League	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
06/05	Al Nasr SC UAE Pro League	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
29/04	Khor Fakkan UAE Pro League	1-2	3-3	9	4	D
21/04	Machida Zelvia AFC Champions League Elite	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
18/04	Buriram United AFC Champions League Elite	1-0	2-2	7	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win (42%). Probabilities: Khor Fakkan 32%, draw 26%, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 42%.

How many goals are expected in Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Khor Fakkan 1.44 · Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.67), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.