Football · Denmark Cup · 04/08, 18:00
Prediction: GVI vs Avarta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
GVI1.17
Avarta1.47
1X2
GVI
Draw
Avarta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
GVI
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Avarta
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
GVI
1–1–1
Avarta
(3 last)
- GVI1-1Avarta
- GVI4-1Avarta
- Avarta7-2GVI
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · GVI 1504 · Avarta 1456
| GVI | Draw | Avarta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 24% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GVI (rating 1504 vs 1456).
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GVI | Avarta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 8.3 | 2.8 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · GVI 1–1–1 Avarta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/20 Denmark Cup | GVI | 1-1 | Avarta |
| 20/06/15 Denmark Division 2 Relegation | GVI | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Avarta |
| 21/09/14 Denmark Division 2 Relegation | Avarta | 7-2 HT 4-0 | GVI |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GVI
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Saby Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | AB Tårnby Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Næstved IF 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Herlev Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Ledøje-Smørum Fodbold Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Saby Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | AB Tårnby Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | Næstved IF 2 Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
3-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Herlev Denmark Danmarksserien Relegation |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Avarta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Bronshoj BK Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Ringsted IF Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Skjold Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Fredensborg Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Allerød Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Gørslev IF Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Ringsted IF Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Skjold Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Fredensborg Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | Allerød Denmark Danmarksserien Promotion |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in GVI vs Avarta?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Avarta win (44%). Probabilities: GVI 30%, draw 26%, Avarta 44%.
How many goals are expected in GVI vs Avarta?
The model expects 2.64 goals (GVI 1.17 · Avarta 1.47), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in GVI vs Avarta?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.