Football · Wales Championship North · 24/10, 15:30

Prediction: Bangor 1876 FC vs Ruthin Town FC

Team pages: Bangor 1876 FC · Ruthin Town FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Bangor 1876 FC2.28

Ruthin Town FC1.05

1X2

64% 20% 16%

Bangor 1876 FC Draw Ruthin Town FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Bangor 1876 FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWLLD

Ruthin Town FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLWDD

Head-to-head

Bangor 1876 FC 1–1–3 Ruthin Town FC (5 last)

Ruthin Town FC1-0Bangor 1876 FC
Bangor 1876 FC3-0Ruthin Town FC
Ruthin Town FC2-1Bangor 1876 FC
Bangor 1876 FC0-0Ruthin Town FC
Ruthin Town FC4-0Bangor 1876 FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bangor 1876 FC 1538 · Ruthin Town FC 1436

	Bangor 1876 FC	Draw	Ruthin Town FC
Our model	64%	21%	15%
Market	65%	19%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bangor 1876 FC (rating 1538 vs 1436).
H2H favours Ruthin Town FC: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bangor 1876 FC	Ruthin Town FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.6	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.3	2.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +15’	1.38	4.75	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bangor 1876 FC 1–1–3 Ruthin Town FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/25 Wales Championship North	Ruthin Town FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Bangor 1876 FC
08/11/24 Wales Championship North	Bangor 1876 FC	3-0 HT 2-0	Ruthin Town FC
19/07/24 Wales League Cup	Ruthin Town FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Bangor 1876 FC
02/03/24 Wales Championship North	Bangor 1876 FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Ruthin Town FC
08/09/23 Wales Championship North	Ruthin Town FC	4-0 HT 1-0	Bangor 1876 FC

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	11	9	0	2	26	10	27
2	Mold Alexandra	11	7	2	2	28	13	23
3	Newtown	10	7	2	1	18	3	23
4	Porthmadog	11	7	2	2	18	11	23
5	Bala Town	11	6	1	4	22	20	19
6	Caersws	10	5	3	2	22	15	18
7	Bangor 1876 FC	11	5	2	4	23	18	17
8	Guilsfield	11	4	4	3	16	14	16
9	Buckley Town	11	4	3	4	25	19	15
10	CPD Llanuwchllyn	10	4	1	5	17	24	13
11	Rhyl	10	2	4	4	18	20	10
12	Denbigh Town	11	3	1	7	20	23	10
13	Ruthin Town FC	11	2	3	6	10	21	9
14	Holyhead Hotspur	10	2	2	6	12	19	8
15	Gresford Ath	10	2	1	7	6	22	7
16	Penrhyncoch	11	0	1	10	5	34	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bangor 1876 FC	Ruthin Town FC
Porthmadog	0-1 L	0-3 L
Buckley Town	2-6 L	1-1 D
Penrhyncoch	5-1 W	2-0 W
Rhyl	2-2 D	1-1 D
Mold Alexandra	1-2 L	0-4 L
Brickfield Rangers	2-1 W	0-2 L
Denbigh Town	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bangor 1876 FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bangor 1876 FC

WWWWLDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Newtown Wales Championship North	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
25/09	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	2-3	2-6	4	4	L
12/09	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	4-0	5-1	–	–	W
05/09	Rhyl Wales Championship North	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
28/08	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
21/08	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	1-2	3-2	5	4	W
15/08	CPD Llanuwchllyn Wales Championship North	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
08/08	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	7	2	W

Ruthin Town FC

LWDLLLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Rhyl Wales Championship North	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
03/10	Buckley Town Wales Championship North	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
25/09	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
12/09	Porthmadog Wales Championship North	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
04/09	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
31/08	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
28/08	Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
22/08	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
14/08	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
07/08	Bala Town Wales Championship North	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bangor 1876 FC vs Ruthin Town FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bangor 1876 FC win (64%). Probabilities: Bangor 1876 FC 64%, draw 20%, Ruthin Town FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Bangor 1876 FC vs Ruthin Town FC?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Bangor 1876 FC 2.28 · Ruthin Town FC 1.05), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bangor 1876 FC vs Ruthin Town FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.