Prediction: Caersws vs Newtown
- Caersws1-0Newtown
- Newtown2-1Caersws
- Caersws1-1Newtown
- Caersws2-3Newtown
| Caersws | Draw | Newtown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Newtown: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Caersws | Newtown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caersws 1–1–2 Newtown
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/26 Wales Championship North | Caersws | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Newtown |
| 25/08/25 Wales Championship North | Newtown | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Caersws |
| 07/07/23 Club Friendly List | Caersws | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Newtown |
| 10/02/15 Wales Cup | Caersws | 2-3 | Newtown |
Standings · Wales Championship North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Newtown | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bangor 1876 FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Guilsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Rhyl | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Mold Alexandra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Caersws | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Denbigh Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Ruthin Town FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | CPD Llanuwchllyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | Gresford Ath | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Caersws | Newtown |
|---|---|---|
| Rhyl | 2-4 L | 6-1 W |
| Gresford Ath | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Mold Alexandra | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Buckley Town | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Guilsfield | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Penrhyncoch | 1-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Llandudno | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Newtown (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caersws
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Newtown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/04 | Holywell Town Wales Championship North |
0-5 | 0-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 6-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 20/03 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caersws vs Newtown?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Newtown win (43%). Probabilities: Caersws 32%, draw 24%, Newtown 43%.
How many goals are expected in Caersws vs Newtown?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Caersws 1.48 · Newtown 1.74), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Caersws vs Newtown?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.