Football · Austria Regionalliga North · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: SV Grodig vs Union Gurten
Team pages: SV Grodig · Union Gurten
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
SV Grodig1.56
Union Gurten1.76
1X2
SV Grodig
Draw
Union Gurten
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SV Grodig
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Union Gurten
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SV Grodig
0–2
Union Gurten
(2 last)
- SV Grodig1-3Union Gurten
- Union Gurten1-0SV Grodig
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Grodig 1518 · Union Gurten 1565
| SV Grodig | Draw | Union Gurten | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Gurten (rating 1518 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Union Gurten: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 14.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Grodig | Union Gurten | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 7.5 | 2 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 1 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Grodig 0–0–2 Union Gurten
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/21 Europe Friendlies | SV Grodig | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Union Gurten |
| 18/07/15 Austria Cup | Union Gurten | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SV Grodig |
Standings · Austria Regionalliga North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Junge Wikinger Ried | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Union Gurten | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | SV Wals-Grünau | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
| 5 | SV Kuchl | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | SV Grodig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | TSV St. Johann | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | OTSU Hallein | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Union Dietach | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| 10 | LASK Linz II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | SK Vorwärts Steyr | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | SV Bad Schallerbach | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Seekirchen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | FC Pinzgau | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Grodig
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Junge Wikinger Ried Austria Regionalliga North |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | SV Wals-Grünau Austria Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/08 | Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | TSV St. Johann Other Match |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | SV Austria Salzburg Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Puch Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | TSV Neumarkt Austria Landesliga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Union Gurten
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | SK Vorwärts Steyr Austria Regionalliga North |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Vortuna Bad Leonfelden Austria Regionalliga North |
3-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | SV Bad Schallerbach Austria Regionalliga North |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | OTSU Hallein Other Match |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/06 | SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Askoe Oedt Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Grodig vs Union Gurten?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Gurten win (42%). Probabilities: SV Grodig 34%, draw 24%, Union Gurten 42%.
How many goals are expected in SV Grodig vs Union Gurten?
The model expects 3.32 goals (SV Grodig 1.56 · Union Gurten 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Grodig vs Union Gurten?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.