Football · Austria Regionalliga North · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: SV Wals-Grünau vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden

Team pages: SV Wals-Grünau · Vortuna Bad Leonfelden

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

SV Wals-Grünau1.83

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden1.23

1X2

51% 24% 25%

SV Wals-Grünau Draw Vortuna Bad Leonfelden

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Wals-Grünau 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWDLWL

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLWWDD

Head-to-head

SV Wals-Grünau 0–1–0 Vortuna Bad Leonfelden (1 last)

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden1-1SV Wals-Grünau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Wals-Grünau 1532 · Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 1495

	SV Wals-Grünau	Draw	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
Our model	50%	25%	25%
Market	51%	23%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 17 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Wals-Grünau	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	8 / 12
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.80

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.60 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
22:55 +31’	1.75	3.80	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:11 +23’	1.76	3.64	3.60
10:57 +25’	1.73▼	3.79▲	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Wals-Grünau 0–1–0 Vortuna Bad Leonfelden

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Austria Regionalliga North	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden	1-1 HT 0-1	SV Wals-Grünau

Standings · Austria Regionalliga North

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen	14	9	2	3	35	14	29
2	LASK Linz II	14	8	4	2	42	14	28
3	Union Gurten	14	8	3	3	23	12	27
4	SV Wals-Grünau	14	7	5	2	25	15	26
5	SV Bad Schallerbach	14	6	4	4	25	17	22
6	SV Kuchl	14	6	3	5	25	27	21
7	SV Grodig	14	6	2	6	21	21	20
8	TSV St. Johann	14	5	4	5	16	19	19
9	SK Vorwärts Steyr	15	5	3	7	20	23	18
10	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden	14	4	6	4	26	28	18
11	Seekirchen	15	4	5	6	17	22	17
12	Junge Wikinger Ried	14	4	3	7	15	29	15
13	OTSU Hallein	14	3	4	7	13	26	13
14	Union Dietach	14	3	3	8	18	36	12
15	FC Pinzgau	14	1	3	10	17	35	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Wals-Grünau	Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
SV Bad Schallerbach	0-1 L	2-2 D
Union Dietach	3-0 W	3-2 W
Seekirchen	0-0 D	1-1 D
TSV St. Johann	2-1 W	2-2 D
SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Pinzgau	2-1 W	4-1 W
SV Kuchl	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SV Wals-Grünau (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Wals-Grünau

DWWWDWDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SV Bad Schallerbach Austria Regionalliga North	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
23/10	OTSU Hallein Austria Regionalliga North	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/10	Union Gurten Austria Regionalliga North	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Junge Wikinger Ried Austria Regionalliga North	2-0	2-2	4	3	D
25/09	Union Dietach Austria Regionalliga North	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/09	Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga North	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga North	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
08/09	SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen Austria Regionalliga North	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga North	2-1	2-1	8	3	W
21/08	SV Kuchl Austria Regionalliga North	0-1	2-2	–	–	D

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden

DWLDLLWWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Seekirchen Austria Regionalliga North	0-1	1-1	12	4	D
24/10	TSV St. Johann Austria Regionalliga North	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
16/10	SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen Austria Regionalliga North	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/10	FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga North	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
03/10	SV Kuchl Austria Regionalliga North	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
26/09	LASK Linz II Austria Regionalliga North	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
19/09	SV Grodig Austria Regionalliga North	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
11/09	SK Vorwärts Steyr Austria Regionalliga North	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
04/09	Union Dietach Austria Regionalliga North	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	SV Bad Schallerbach Austria Regionalliga North	0-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Wals-Grünau vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Wals-Grünau win (51%). Probabilities: SV Wals-Grünau 51%, draw 24%, Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 25%.

How many goals are expected in SV Wals-Grünau vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden?

The model expects 3.06 goals (SV Wals-Grünau 1.83 · Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 1.23), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Wals-Grünau vs Vortuna Bad Leonfelden?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.