Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: ATSV Wolfsberg vs VST Volkermarkt

Team pages: ATSV Wolfsberg · VST Volkermarkt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

ATSV Wolfsberg1.76

VST Volkermarkt1.56

1X2

42% 24% 34%

ATSV Wolfsberg Draw VST Volkermarkt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

ATSV Wolfsberg 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLDLDWDD

VST Volkermarkt 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLWLLD

Head-to-head

ATSV Wolfsberg 2–1–3 VST Volkermarkt (6 last)

VST Volkermarkt4-2ATSV Wolfsberg
VST Volkermarkt4-2ATSV Wolfsberg
ATSV Wolfsberg2-5VST Volkermarkt
ATSV Wolfsberg3-0VST Volkermarkt
VST Volkermarkt3-4ATSV Wolfsberg
VST Volkermarkt1-1ATSV Wolfsberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ATSV Wolfsberg 1496 · VST Volkermarkt 1497

	ATSV Wolfsberg	Draw	VST Volkermarkt
Our model	42%	25%	33%
Market	43%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours VST Volkermarkt: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ATSV Wolfsberg	VST Volkermarkt
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2.1	1.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	1.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:56 +5’	2.10	4.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ATSV Wolfsberg 2–1–3 VST Volkermarkt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Landesliga	VST Volkermarkt	4-2 HT 0-0	ATSV Wolfsberg
26/08/25 Austria Amateur Cup	VST Volkermarkt	4-2 HT 2-1	ATSV Wolfsberg
22/08/25 Austria Landesliga	ATSV Wolfsberg	2-5 HT 1-1	VST Volkermarkt
11/04/25 Austria Landesliga	ATSV Wolfsberg	3-0 HT 2-0	VST Volkermarkt
30/08/24 Austria Landesliga	VST Volkermarkt	3-4 HT 0-3	ATSV Wolfsberg
11/05/24 Austria Landesliga	VST Volkermarkt	1-1 HT 1-1	ATSV Wolfsberg

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Karnten

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Treibach	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	WAC St Andra II	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
3	Atus Velden	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
4	Austria Klagenfurt	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
5	ATSV Wolfsberg	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
6	SVG Bleiburg	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
7	VST Volkermarkt	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
8	SV Donau Klagenfurt	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ATSV Wolfsberg	VST Volkermarkt
SVG Bleiburg	2-2 D	2-1 W
St Veit SC	2-1 W	1-2 L
TSV Grafenstein	4-3 W	5-3 W
Nussdorf	4-2 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

ATSV Wolfsberg

WWWLDLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	2-2	4	4	D
31/07	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
18/07	ASC St Paul Austria Amateur Cup	3-0	6-1	7	0	W
04/07	St.Michael/Lavanttal Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-2	2	0	D
03/06	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
29/05	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-5	3	1	L
16/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
13/05	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	2-1	4-3	7	2	W
08/05	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	3-1	4-2	–	–	W

VST Volkermarkt

DLWLWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
31/07	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	0-3	10	5	L
05/06	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
29/05	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	1-3	5-3	–	–	W
22/05	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
17/05	SVG Bleiburg Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
13/05	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-4	2	6	L
08/05	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-2	–	–	W
03/05	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
29/04	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-2	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ATSV Wolfsberg vs VST Volkermarkt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ATSV Wolfsberg win (42%). Probabilities: ATSV Wolfsberg 42%, draw 24%, VST Volkermarkt 34%.

How many goals are expected in ATSV Wolfsberg vs VST Volkermarkt?

The model expects 3.31 goals (ATSV Wolfsberg 1.76 · VST Volkermarkt 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ATSV Wolfsberg vs VST Volkermarkt?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.