Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: SK Treibach vs Atus Velden

Team pages: SK Treibach · Atus Velden

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

SK Treibach1.58

Atus Velden1.3

1X2

44% 24% 32%

SK Treibach Draw Atus Velden

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SK Treibach 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDWLWW

Atus Velden 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLLWD

Head-to-head

SK Treibach 1–2–2 Atus Velden (5 last)

SK Treibach2-0Atus Velden
Atus Velden0-0SK Treibach
Atus Velden4-0SK Treibach
SK Treibach0-3Atus Velden
Atus Velden0-0SK Treibach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Treibach 1533 · Atus Velden 1541

	SK Treibach	Draw	Atus Velden
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atus Velden: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Treibach	Atus Velden
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 2	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/0/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	1.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	1.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:55 +6’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Treibach 1–2–2 Atus Velden

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	SK Treibach	2-0 HT 1-0	Atus Velden
06/04/26 Austria Amateur Cup	Atus Velden	0-0 HT 0-0	SK Treibach
12/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	Atus Velden	4-0 HT 1-0	SK Treibach
03/05/24 Austria Landesliga	SK Treibach	0-3 HT 0-1	Atus Velden
08/09/23 Austria Landesliga	Atus Velden	0-0 HT 0-0	SK Treibach

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Karnten

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Treibach	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	WAC St Andra II	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
3	Atus Velden	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
4	Austria Klagenfurt	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
5	ATSV Wolfsberg	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
6	SVG Bleiburg	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
7	VST Volkermarkt	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
8	SV Donau Klagenfurt	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Treibach	Atus Velden
Austria Klagenfurt	3-1 W	1-2 L
VST Volkermarkt	3-0 W	1-1 D
Deutschlandsberger SC	2-2 D	1-1 D
SVG Bleiburg	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SK Treibach (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SK Treibach

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
31/07	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
25/07	SV Kapfenberg Austria Cup	0-2	1-4	6	7	L
21/07	Sirnitz Europe Friendlies	7-0	12-0	4	0	W
17/07	Deutschlandsberger SC Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/07	TSV Grafenstein Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-6	5	0	L
12/06	SVG Bleiburg Austria Amateur Cup	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
09/06	SVG Bleiburg Austria Amateur Cup	3-1	3-1	10	3	W
05/06	LASK Linz II Austria Regionalliga Mitte	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
30/05	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga Mitte	1-2	2-4	5	2	L

Atus Velden

WDWWWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
31/07	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/07	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Cup	1-0	1-2	3	2	L
20/07	Wolfsberger AC Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
16/07	Lendorf Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	4	0	W
11/07	SV Lebring Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-1	3	1	W
26/06	KAC 1909 Europe Friendlies	1-0	6-1	9	0	W
03/06	FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
29/05	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga Mitte	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
22/05	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga Mitte	1-0	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Treibach vs Atus Velden?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Treibach win (44%). Probabilities: SK Treibach 44%, draw 24%, Atus Velden 32%.

How many goals are expected in SK Treibach vs Atus Velden?

The model expects 2.88 goals (SK Treibach 1.58 · Atus Velden 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Treibach vs Atus Velden?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.