Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 22/08, 15:00

Prediction: Vizela vs Amarante

Team pages: Vizela · Amarante

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.02Total

Vizela1.07

Amarante0.95

1X2

36% 33% 30%

Vizela Draw Amarante

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vizela 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWDWLLWL

Amarante 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWWLLL

Head-to-head

Vizela 1–0 Amarante (1 last)

Amarante1-3Vizela

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vizela	Amarante
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.2	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	2.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.84

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Pinn 1.90
X	3.57 → 3.57	Pinn 3.57
2	3.85 → 3.85	Pinn 3.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:47 +6’	1.90	3.57	3.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vizela 1–0–0 Amarante

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/19 Europe Friendlies	Amarante	1-3 HT 1-2	Vizela

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Academica	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	SC Farense	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
3	Lusitania Lourosa	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	Portimonense	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
5	Benfica B	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
6	Sporting B	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
7	Leixoes	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
8	Vizela	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
9	Tondela	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	Felgueiras 1932	2	0	2	0	1	1	2
11	SCU Torreense	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	Penafiel	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	AVS	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
14	Feirense	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
15	Amarante	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
15	UD Leiria	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
17	FC Porto B	2	0	0	2	1	5	0
17	Chaves	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vizela

LLLWDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
09/08	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
01/08	Celta Fortuna Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
16/05	SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
09/05	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
02/05	Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
26/04	Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
19/04	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	9	7	L
12/04	Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
07/04	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-2	1-2	3	8	L

Amarante

WDWDDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
08/08	Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga	1-2	1-2	0	7	L
01/08	Moreirense Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
16/05	Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3	3-0	3-1	3	2	W
10/05	UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
01/05	Trofense Portugal Liga 3	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
26/04	CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
19/04	CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3	1-0	4-1	2	3	W
12/04	Academica Portugal Liga 3	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
04/04	Varzim Portugal Liga 3	1-0	1-0	7	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vizela vs Amarante?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vizela win (36%). Probabilities: Vizela 36%, draw 33%, Amarante 30%.

How many goals are expected in Vizela vs Amarante?

The model expects 2.02 goals (Vizela 1.07 · Amarante 0.95), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vizela vs Amarante?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.