Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 21/08, 21:15
Prediction: Tondela vs Academica
Team pages: Tondela · Academica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Tondela1.07
Academica1.29
1X2
Tondela
Draw
Academica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tondela
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Academica
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tondela
2–2–2
Academica
(6 last)
- Academica1-1Tondela
- Tondela2-1Academica
- Tondela1-1Academica
- Tondela2-0Academica
- Academica2-1Tondela
- Tondela1-2Academica
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academica (rating 1473 vs 1561).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tondela | Academica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tondela 2–2–2 Academica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/22 Portugal Cup | Academica | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tondela |
| 11/07/18 Europe Friendlies | Tondela | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Academica |
| 15/07/16 Club Friendly List | Tondela | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Academica |
| 14/05/16 Portugal Primeira Liga | Tondela | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Academica |
| 10/01/16 Portugal Primeira Liga | Academica | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Tondela |
| 25/07/15 Club Friendly List | Tondela | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Academica |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | SC Farense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Lusitania Lourosa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Portimonense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Sporting B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vizela | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Tondela | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Felgueiras 1932 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | SCU Torreense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | AVS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Feirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Amarante | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | UD Leiria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tondela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Rio Ave Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Famalicao Club Friendly List |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 29/04 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
Academica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Caldas SC Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | UD Santarem Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 12/04 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tondela vs Academica?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Academica win (40%). Probabilities: Tondela 29%, draw 30%, Academica 40%.
How many goals are expected in Tondela vs Academica?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Tondela 1.07 · Academica 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tondela vs Academica?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.