Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 14/08, 18:00

Prediction: SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Oberwart

Team pages: SR Fach-Donaufeld · Oberwart

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

SR Fach-Donaufeld2.03

Oberwart1.88

1X2

41% 23% 36%

SR Fach-Donaufeld Draw Oberwart

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SR Fach-Donaufeld 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWLWW

Oberwart 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWLWL

Head-to-head

SR Fach-Donaufeld 3–3 Oberwart (6 last)

Oberwart2-4SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld1-2Oberwart
SR Fach-Donaufeld4-2Oberwart
Oberwart3-1SR Fach-Donaufeld
Oberwart0-6SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld2-3Oberwart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1535 · Oberwart 1521

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Draw	Oberwart
Our model	42%	22%	36%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Oberwart
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2	2.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.7	2.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.75

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +2’	2.20	3.75	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SR Fach-Donaufeld 3–0–3 Oberwart

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	2-4 HT 0-2	SR Fach-Donaufeld
09/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-2 HT 1-1	Oberwart
16/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	4-2 HT 3-0	Oberwart
16/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	3-1 HT 1-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld
05/04/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	0-6 HT 0-2	SR Fach-Donaufeld
09/09/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	2-3 HT 2-2	Oberwart

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SV Gloggnitz	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
2	Wiener Sportclub	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	SR Fach-Donaufeld	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
4	Parndorf	2	1	1	0	7	2	4
5	SV Leobendorf	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
7	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2	1	0	1	5	1	3
8	SV Horn	2	1	0	1	4	2	3
9	Oberwart	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
10	Favoritner AC	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
11	Kremser SC	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
12	SV Donau	2	0	1	1	2	7	1
13	FCM Traiskirchen	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
14	SC Wiener Viktoria	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
15	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
16	SV Wienerberg	2	0	0	2	0	8	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Oberwart
FCM Traiskirchen	1-0 W	3-0 W
Rapid Vienna II	1-6 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Oberwart (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SR Fach-Donaufeld

WWLWDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	10	9	W
31/07	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
25/07	Grazer AK Austria Cup	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
17/07	Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-2	5	0	W
14/07	Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies	1-4	1-6	6	2	L
10/07	FK Austria Vienna II Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	5	0	D
03/07	SC Zwettl Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-1	–	–	W
03/06	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	13	2	L
29/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	4-2	8	1	W
22/05	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	4	4	W

Oberwart

WWDWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	12	5	L
01/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
25/07	FC Salzburg Austria Cup	1-3	1-7	3	3	L
17/07	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Amateur Cup	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
26/06	Sturm Graz II Europe Friendlies	3-0	4-0	2	0	W
19/06	Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-3	5	0	L
05/06	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-2	7	2	W
30/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
25/05	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Amateur Cup	1-0	4-0	4	1	W
22/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	0	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Oberwart?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SR Fach-Donaufeld win (41%). Probabilities: SR Fach-Donaufeld 41%, draw 23%, Oberwart 36%.

How many goals are expected in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Oberwart?

The model expects 3.91 goals (SR Fach-Donaufeld 2.03 · Oberwart 1.88), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Oberwart?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.