Football · Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women · 04/07, 18:00

Prediction: Peamount Utd (W) vs Athlone Town (W)

Expected goals: 2.83 (Peamount Utd (W) 1.08 · Athlone Town (W) 1.75). The model gives 23% home, 24% draw, 53% away. Under 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Peamount Utd (W) sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Athlone Town (W) arrives on a 8-1-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Peamount Utd (W) and 4 for Athlone Town (W).

53%2
23% 24% 53%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peamount Utd (W) 1478 · Athlone Town (W) 1586
Peamount Utd (W)DrawAthlone Town (W)
Our model22%26%52%
Market24%22%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.83Peamount Utd (W) 1.08 · Athlone Town (W) 1.75
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Athlone Town (W) (rating 1478 vs 1586).
  • H2H favours Athlone Town (W): 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Peamount Utd (W)Athlone Town (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 2.22.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 10.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/56/22%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.62.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peamount Utd (W) 204 Athlone Town (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Republic of Ireland National League Women
Athlone Town (W)2-0
HT 0-0
Peamount Utd (W)
04/10/25
Republic of Ireland National League Women
Peamount Utd (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Athlone Town (W)
16/08/25
Republic of Ireland FAI Cup Women
Peamount Utd (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Athlone Town (W)
21/06/25
Republic of Ireland National League Women
Athlone Town (W)3-0
HT 1-0
Peamount Utd (W)
27/07/24
Republic of Ireland National League Women
Peamount Utd (W)2-1
HT 0-1
Athlone Town (W)
13/04/24
Republic of Ireland National League Women
Athlone Town (W)3-1
HT 1-1
Peamount Utd (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPeamount Utd (W)Athlone Town (W)
Galway (W) 1-1 D 1-2 L
Shamrock Rovers (W) 1-0 W 3-1 W
Shelbourne (W) 2-4 L 1-0 W
Wexford Youths (W) 2-5 L 2-0 W
Sligo Rovers (W) 1-1 D 1-1 D
Waterford FC (W) 3-0 W 4-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Athlone Town (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peamount Utd (W)

WLDLLLWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Galway (W)
Women’s Friendly
1-1 D
20/06 Cork City (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
0-3 0-6 62 L
13/06 Shamrock Rovers (W)
Women’s Friendly
0-0 1-0 02 W
30/05 Lisburn Rangers (W)
Women’s Friendly
4-0 6-1 83 W
23/05 Shelbourne (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
2-2 2-4 52 L
16/05 Wexford Youths (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
0-2 2-5 51 L
02/05 Galway (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
1-1 1-2 34 L
25/04 Sligo Rovers (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
1-1 1-1 72 D
19/04 Athlone Town (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
0-0 0-2 33 L
28/03 Waterford FC (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
3-0 3-0 42 W

Athlone Town (W)

WDWWWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Shamrock Rovers (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
1-1 3-1 24 W
23/05 Galway (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
1-0 1-2 44 L
16/05 FC Treaty United (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
0-0 1-0 42 W
02/05 Waterford FC (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
0-2 4-2 101 W
25/04 Wexford Youths (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
1-0 2-0 101 W
19/04 Peamount Utd (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
0-0 2-0 43 W
28/03 Bohemians Dublin (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
1-1 5-2 32 W
21/03 DLR Waves (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
0-0 1-0 W
14/03 Sligo Rovers (W)
Republic of Ireland National League Women
0-0 1-1 53 D
08/03 Shelbourne (W)
Republic of Ireland Presidents Cup Women
0-0 1-0 61 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peamount Utd (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Athlone Town (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Peamount Utd (W) 23%, draw 24%, Athlone Town (W) 53%.

How many goals are expected in Peamount Utd (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Peamount Utd (W) 1.08 · Athlone Town (W) 1.75), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Peamount Utd (W) vs Athlone Town (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.