Football · Paraguay Tercera Division · 03/07, 15:00

Prediction: Sportivo Iteno vs Presidente Hayes

Expected goals: 2.88 (Sportivo Iteno 1.56 · Presidente Hayes 1.32). The model gives 42% home, 28% draw, 31% away. Over 2.25 goals (56%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Sportivo Iteno with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Presidente Hayes has piled up 3-1-6 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Iteno won 1 and Presidente Hayes 0, with 1 draw.

42%1
42% 28% 31%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Iteno 1508 · Presidente Hayes 1467
Sportivo ItenoDrawPresidente Hayes
Our model42%27%31%
Market41%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.88Sportivo Iteno 1.56 · Presidente Hayes 1.32
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 56%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Iteno (rating 1508 vs 1467).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sportivo ItenoPresidente Hayes
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.51.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.81.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.12.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.5 / 0.66.4 / 0.8

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Iteno 110 Presidente Hayes

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
14/09/25
Paraguay Tercera Division
Sportivo Iteno2-0
HT 1-0
Presidente Hayes
04/06/25
Paraguay Tercera Division
Presidente Hayes1-1
HT 1-0
Sportivo Iteno

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSportivo ItenoPresidente Hayes
3 de Febrero FBC 0-1 L 2-0 W
12 De Octubre San Domingo 5-1 W 3-5 L
Club Sport Colombia 1-2 L 0-0 D
29 de Septiembre FBC 2-2 D 1-3 L
12 de Octubre 0-3 L 0-1 L
CS Limpeno 4-2 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Presidente Hayes (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Iteno

WDWLDLWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 3 de Febrero FBC
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-1 0-1 37 L
06/06 Atletico Colegiales
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-1 1-1 42 D
02/06 Club General Martin Ledesma
Paraguay Cup
1-1 1-1 87 D
30/05 12 De Octubre San Domingo
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-1 5-1 45 W
24/05 Club Sport Colombia
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-1 1-2 36 L
20/05 29 de Septiembre FBC
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 2-2 78 D
15/05 12 de Octubre
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-2 0-3 44 L
30/04 Club Olimpia de Ita
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-0 2-1 19 W
26/04 Club General Martin Ledesma
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-0 1-1 36 D
12/04 CS Limpeno
Paraguay Tercera Division
3-1 4-2 47 W

Presidente Hayes

LLLDLWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 CS Limpeno
Paraguay Tercera Division
3-0 5-0 46 W
06/06 River Plate Asuncion
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 0-1 37 L
03/06 Deportivo Pinoza
Paraguay Cup
3-0 6-1 44 W
31/05 Cristobal Colon JAS
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-2 1-3 512 L
20/05 3 de Febrero FBC
Paraguay Tercera Division
2-0 2-0 39 W
04/05 12 De Octubre San Domingo
Paraguay Tercera Division
2-1 3-5 36 L
29/04 Club Sport Colombia
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 0-0 48 D
26/04 29 de Septiembre FBC
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-2 1-3 119 L
18/04 12 de Octubre
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 0-1 36 L
14/04 24 de Setiembre
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 1-3 15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Iteno vs Presidente Hayes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportivo Iteno win (42%). Probabilities: Sportivo Iteno 42%, draw 28%, Presidente Hayes 31%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Iteno vs Presidente Hayes?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Sportivo Iteno 1.56 · Presidente Hayes 1.32), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Iteno vs Presidente Hayes?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.