Football · Austria League 1 Women · 16/08, 12:45
Prediction: SK Sturm Graz (W) vs FC Salzburg (W)
Team pages: SK Sturm Graz (W) · FC Salzburg (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
SK Sturm Graz (W)2
FC Salzburg (W)1.34
1X2
SK Sturm Graz (W)
Draw
FC Salzburg (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SK Sturm Graz (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
FC Salzburg (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Sturm Graz (W)
2–2–0
FC Salzburg (W)
(4 last)
- SK Sturm Graz (W)2-2FC Salzburg (W)
- FC Salzburg (W)0-1SK Sturm Graz (W)
- SK Sturm Graz (W)5-5FC Salzburg (W)
- FC Salzburg (W)0-1SK Sturm Graz (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Sturm Graz (W) 1512 · FC Salzburg (W) 1489
| SK Sturm Graz (W) | Draw | FC Salzburg (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SK Sturm Graz (W): 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Sturm Graz (W) | FC Salzburg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6 | 1 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sturm Graz (W) 2–2–0 FC Salzburg (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 Austria League 1 Women | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | FC Salzburg (W) |
| 25/04/26 Austria League 1 Women | FC Salzburg (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | SK Sturm Graz (W) |
| 21/02/26 Austria League 1 Women | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 5-5 HT 3-1 | FC Salzburg (W) |
| 21/09/25 Austria League 1 Women | FC Salzburg (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | SK Sturm Graz (W) |
Standings · Austria League 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Salzburg (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 4 | FK Austria Vienna (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | SKN St Polten (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | LASK Linz (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 7 | Rapid Vienna (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | SCR Altach (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Sturm Graz (W) | FC Salzburg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| LASK Linz (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| SKN St Polten (W) | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FK Austria Vienna (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Sturm Graz (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women |
3-0 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
FC Salzburg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | LASK Linz (W) Austria Cup Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs FC Salzburg (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sturm Graz (W) win (52%). Probabilities: SK Sturm Graz (W) 52%, draw 24%, FC Salzburg (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs FC Salzburg (W)?
The model expects 3.34 goals (SK Sturm Graz (W) 2 · FC Salzburg (W) 1.34), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs FC Salzburg (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.