Football · Austria League 1 Women · 29/08, 18:00
Prediction: SK Sturm Graz (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Team pages: SK Sturm Graz (W) · FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.12Total
SK Sturm Graz (W)3.06
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)1.06
1X2
SK Sturm Graz (W)
Draw
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
SK Sturm Graz (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Sturm Graz (W)
6–0
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
(6 last)
- SK Sturm Graz (W)3-1FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
- FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)0-2SK Sturm Graz (W)
- FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)1-3SK Sturm Graz (W)
- SK Sturm Graz (W)10-1FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
- FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)0-6SK Sturm Graz (W)
- SK Sturm Graz (W)7-0FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Sturm Graz (W) 1542 · FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 1403
| SK Sturm Graz (W) | Draw | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 87% | 9% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.12 goals · Bet365 line 4.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sturm Graz (W) (rating 1542 vs 1403).
- H2H favours SK Sturm Graz (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Sturm Graz (W) | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sturm Graz (W) 6–0–0 FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 Austria League 1 Women | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) |
| 06/09/25 Austria League 1 Women | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | SK Sturm Graz (W) |
| 23/02/25 Women’s Friendly | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | SK Sturm Graz (W) |
| 29/05/22 Austria League 1 Women | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 10-1 HT 5-1 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) |
| 07/11/21 Austria League 1 Women | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 0-6 HT 0-4 | SK Sturm Graz (W) |
| 24/04/21 Austria League 1 Women | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 7-0 HT 6-0 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) |
Standings · Austria League 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Sturm Graz (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | SKN St Polten (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | FK Austria Vienna (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | FC Salzburg (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 |
| 6 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 7 | LASK Linz (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 8 | SCR Altach (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 9 | Rapid Vienna (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SK Sturm Graz (W) | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) |
|---|---|---|
| First Vienna FC 1894 (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Salzburg (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| LASK Linz (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| SCR Altach (W) | 6-2 W | 3-3 D |
| SKN St Polten (W) | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| FK Austria Vienna (W) | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: SK Sturm Graz (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Sturm Graz (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women |
3-0 | 6-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/05 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Rapid Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/03 | FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sturm Graz (W) win (82%). Probabilities: SK Sturm Graz (W) 82%, draw 11%, FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)?
The model expects 4.12 goals (SK Sturm Graz (W) 3.06 · FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) 1.06), with a 56% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.