Football · Austria League 1 Women · 13/11, 18:00

Prediction: SK Sturm Graz (W) vs First Vienna FC 1894 (W)

Team pages: SK Sturm Graz (W) · First Vienna FC 1894 (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

SK Sturm Graz (W)2.37

First Vienna FC 1894 (W)1.07

1X2

66% 19% 15%

SK Sturm Graz (W) Draw First Vienna FC 1894 (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Sturm Graz (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLDWWW

First Vienna FC 1894 (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLLDDW

Head-to-head

SK Sturm Graz (W) 4–1–1 First Vienna FC 1894 (W) (6 last)

First Vienna FC 1894 (W)1-1SK Sturm Graz (W)
First Vienna FC 1894 (W)1-2SK Sturm Graz (W)
SK Sturm Graz (W)3-2First Vienna FC 1894 (W)
First Vienna FC 1894 (W)3-5SK Sturm Graz (W)
First Vienna FC 1894 (W)1-0SK Sturm Graz (W)
SK Sturm Graz (W)1-0First Vienna FC 1894 (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Sturm Graz (W) 1568 · First Vienna FC 1894 (W) 1459

	SK Sturm Graz (W)	Draw	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)
Our model	65%	20%	15%
Market	66%	19%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sturm Graz (W) (rating 1568 vs 1459).
H2H favours SK Sturm Graz (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Sturm Graz (W)	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.6	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.3	4 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.38▲	Bet365 1.38
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:58 +5’	1.36	4.75	6.00
22:53 +8’	1.38▲	4.75	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sturm Graz (W) 4–1–1 First Vienna FC 1894 (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Austria League 1 Women	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	SK Sturm Graz (W)
14/02/26 Austria Cup Women	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	SK Sturm Graz (W)
07/11/25 Austria League 1 Women	SK Sturm Graz (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)
29/08/25 Austria League 1 Women	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	3-5 HT 0-2	SK Sturm Graz (W)
17/05/25 Austria League 1 Women	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	SK Sturm Graz (W)
13/04/25 Austria League 1 Women	SK Sturm Graz (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)

Standings · Austria League 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SKN St Polten (W)	12	10	1	1	38	7	31
2	SK Sturm Graz (W)	12	9	2	1	30	8	29
3	FK Austria Vienna (W)	11	8	2	1	32	3	26
4	FC Salzburg (W)	12	6	1	5	16	16	19
5	SCR Altach (W)	11	5	2	4	20	20	17
6	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)	12	2	6	4	18	25	12
7	LASK Linz (W)	12	3	2	7	12	23	11
8	Rapid Vienna (W)	12	2	4	6	10	25	10
9	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)	12	1	3	8	7	29	6
10	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W)	12	1	1	10	8	35	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Sturm Graz (W)	First Vienna FC 1894 (W)
FC Salzburg (W)	1-0 W	1-3 L
LASK Linz (W)	5-0 W	2-3 L
SCR Altach (W)	2-0 W	0-4 L
SKN St Polten (W)	2-2 D	1-4 L
Rapid Vienna (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W)	4-0 W	4-3 W
FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W)	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SK Sturm Graz (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Sturm Graz (W)

WDWWWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
23/10	LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	5-0	5-0	7	2	W
18/10	SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
04/10	SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
27/09	FK Austria Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
18/09	Rapid Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
13/09	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) Austria League 1 Women	3-0	3-1	2	3	W
21/08	First Vienna FC 1894 (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	1-1	12	3	D
16/08	FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	2-0	7	3	W

First Vienna FC 1894 (W)

DWDLLLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	2-3	4-3	12	3	W
25/10	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
17/10	Rapid Vienna (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-1	1-1	10	1	D
03/10	FC Salzburg (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
26/09	LASK Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	2-3	7	1	L
20/09	SCR Altach (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-1	0-4	8	3	L
12/09	SKN St Polten (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-2	1-4	3	3	L
21/08	SK Sturm Graz (W) Austria League 1 Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
15/08	Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) Austria League 1 Women	1-0	1-1	8	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs First Vienna FC 1894 (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sturm Graz (W) win (66%). Probabilities: SK Sturm Graz (W) 66%, draw 19%, First Vienna FC 1894 (W) 15%.

How many goals are expected in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs First Vienna FC 1894 (W)?

The model expects 3.45 goals (SK Sturm Graz (W) 2.37 · First Vienna FC 1894 (W) 1.07), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Sturm Graz (W) vs First Vienna FC 1894 (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.